Tractor
Club Member
Hmmmm, 32 sacks. Let's see:
Considering we will have 10 minute long TD drives all game long (barring short fields we get off CSU turnovers), We'll have a 2:1 time of possession ratio, at worst.
They'll want to "establish the run" in the first half, so they'll probably run on first and second down all half. With a margin of error, I'll give them 5 pass attempts in the first half.
In the second half, they'll be down 21-0. They'll abandon the run, and pass on every down. We'll start practicing passing, so it will look like we're running up the score. But unfortunately for CSU, this also lengthens the game, since it will only take us 4 minutes to score. This means CSU will touch the ball a lot more in the second half.
If the new coach starts going for it on 4th downs by the fourth quarter, we get even shorter fields and score even faster. In this scenario, they attempt 30 passes in the second half. We get 3 picks and sack their QB every other play. (Push)
If the new coach gives up and just starts running out the clock in the 4th quarter, they only attempt 20 passes in the second half. We get 3 picks and sack their QB every other play. (Under)
If all their QB gets hurt (from being sacked every play), they'll switch to the Veer with their starting RB running the show. They haven't practiced that all year, and every play is a tackle for loss. The stat guys then decide that every play in the first half that their starting RB was tackled for loss was also a sack. They throw 3 picks and every other play is a tackle for loss (sack). (Over)
I'm thinking the smart money is on push.
Considering we will have 10 minute long TD drives all game long (barring short fields we get off CSU turnovers), We'll have a 2:1 time of possession ratio, at worst.
They'll want to "establish the run" in the first half, so they'll probably run on first and second down all half. With a margin of error, I'll give them 5 pass attempts in the first half.
In the second half, they'll be down 21-0. They'll abandon the run, and pass on every down. We'll start practicing passing, so it will look like we're running up the score. But unfortunately for CSU, this also lengthens the game, since it will only take us 4 minutes to score. This means CSU will touch the ball a lot more in the second half.
If the new coach starts going for it on 4th downs by the fourth quarter, we get even shorter fields and score even faster. In this scenario, they attempt 30 passes in the second half. We get 3 picks and sack their QB every other play. (Push)
If the new coach gives up and just starts running out the clock in the 4th quarter, they only attempt 20 passes in the second half. We get 3 picks and sack their QB every other play. (Under)
If all their QB gets hurt (from being sacked every play), they'll switch to the Veer with their starting RB running the show. They haven't practiced that all year, and every play is a tackle for loss. The stat guys then decide that every play in the first half that their starting RB was tackled for loss was also a sack. They throw 3 picks and every other play is a tackle for loss (sack). (Over)
I'm thinking the smart money is on push.
