Right. That's kind of my point. How many true freshman QBs are ready to take over for national championship dreaming programs? It's one thing to get playing time mid way through the year at ASU, but very few elite programs are going to roll with an unknown commodity at QB, even if they are RS Freshman.
So for most elite HS QB prospects, I think the choices going forward are:
1. Commit to blue blood and hope that they simply beat out the competition that likely includes an elite transfer that the program is paying $1m+
2. Commit to a mid to low level P5 or G5 with a much higher likelihood, if not guarantee, that you're QB1 early on and then either stay or transfer from there.
Either way, I think the portal has completely changed the QB position from a recruiting standpoint, more than any other position.