"a loss." Yes, you see many. Phrasing.I don't see a loss on that schedule.
If we get more than one road conference win next year, I will be pleasantly surprised.A quick look at last year's Big 12 standings and the schedule:
CU should beat WVU, UCF, TCU, ASU, Cincy, and BYU at home.
CU should beat OSU on the road..new coaching staff and complete roster overhaul for the Cowboys.
CU could maybe beat ASU, UCF, Utah, and TCU on the road.
CU could maybe stun Kansas at home.
Minimum of seven B12 wins and maximum of 12 B12 wins.
We won't beat Baylor & Houston at home and Arizona, TT, ISU, and KSU on the road.
This seems about right. 6-7 non-conf wins. 6-7 conf wins. Peg it at 13 total wins with +/- 2 either way.If we get more than one road conference win next year, I will be pleasantly surprised.
My hope is to split at home. 6-8 league wins total.
Remember to get your tickets now!
If we get more than one road conference win next year, I will be pleasantly surprised.
My hope is to split at home. 6-8 league wins total.
Remember to get your tickets now!
The upside of playing such a brutal schedule (Big 12 + Maui neutral games vs top teams) is that if we can get to the Big 12 tournament at 16 wins, our NET will have us in a pretty strong bubble position.
At least we don't have to deal with the Dick ***** horde in Boulder this year.
You know you have to win some of those q1 games for them to mean anything, yeah?The upside of playing such a brutal schedule (Big 12 + Maui neutral games vs top teams) is that if we can get to the Big 12 tournament at 16 wins, our NET will have us in a pretty strong bubble position.
Dead-ass, don't even get on the bus for the Ames trip. Forfeit it now.CU has been great at home under Tad so a split or a 7-5 record is likely. We will probably push the others that we aren’t expected to beat.
We will get run out in Tucson and Ames. Likely Manhattan. Other road games are doable but there will be no excuse for losing in Stillwater despite our history there.
Seems like a very solid and mature young man. And he's a massive Indiana farm boy, which is pretty much a synonym for "bully ball center with high bball IQ & skill level". Me likey.
Yep. I figure our schedule will give 16-18 opportunities in Q1. Find a way to win 5 and then get a winning record in the 5-8 Q2 games we'll play. Sweep the rest and we'll hit that winning record with a top 60 NET and a chance to Dance with something to play for in the Big 12 tournament.You know you have to win some of those q1 games for them to mean anything, yeah?
I think that approach is simply unrealistic.Yep. I figure our schedule will give 16-18 opportunities in Q1. Find a way to win 5 and then get a winning record in the 5-8 Q2 games we'll play. Sweep the rest and we'll hit that winning record with a top 60 NET and a chance to Dance with something to play for in the Big 12 tournament.
Seems like a very solid and mature young man. And he's a massive Indiana farm boy, which is pretty much a synonym for "bully ball center with high bball IQ & skill level". Me likey.
You also have to consider that 2023/24 was anomalous with the number of mid majors that were ranked high on NET and some of the seasons that didn't result in a Dance bid.I think that approach is simply unrealistic.
I do not think our non-con will contain another Q1 opportunity, outside of Maui. Maybe one more on a neutral, but I haven't heard of anything, and that wouldn't be like Tad to schedule that for a year like this. So, going off of last year's KP rankings, we can expect around 15 q1 opps. 3 Neutral (Maui), 5 home (BYU, ISU, KU, UH, and Baylor), 7 road (Zona, Utah, ISU, KU, TCU, Tech, and UCF). Pending opponent, our one game in KC could be one, as well, so maybe 16. The opponents may shuffle, but I'm going off of last year's #s, for reference.
You cannot convince me that we are winning 5 of those q1 games, or that we will win the majority of the other 9 league games we play, or that we will sweep the rest.
Even still, that would not get us into the tournament. Remind me, what seed did Oklahoma -- they of the 46 NET, 4-12 q1, 16-0 qs 2-4 -- get last year? Their exclusion is an outlier, sure, but if you're just hoping for the B12 aggregate alone to get us into the Dance, it is an extremely narrow path that allows for zero mistakes outside of those 16ish q1 games, and even still is not guaranteed.
K-State last year is more of your parallel. 5-8 in q1, split q2 with one slip in q3. They ended up with a NET barely outside the top-70. No rational person discusses a team like that on Selection Sunday. Nor should they. And 5 more q1 losses wouldn't have helped them any.
'Cause I'm me, I looked it up. We've won at Hilton 5 times. 1973 (ot), 1977, 1984 (Big 8 tournament in Ames), 1991, and 2005 (ot).Dead-ass, don't even get on the bus for the Ames trip. Forfeit it now.
Just stop.And that Maui tourney could better prepare CU for conference play so that makes me feel more confident of a .500 record or close to it in B12 play.
Man, what are you on today?Reminds you of him?
The conversation should be, and ONLY should be, how are we getting to a .500 record. We won't win a game in Maui unless we draw Chaminade the last day. And that win counts for nada. Say we have 8 more non-conference games. A good bet is going 6-2 in those games. That's likely 6-5 in non-conference. In conference play at home let's say we beat ASU, BYU, Cincy, UCF, WV and pull one upset = 6 wins. There are only 3 possible wins on the road - ASU, Utah, OSU. That gets us to 14 wins if all plays out this way.You also have to consider that 2023/24 was anomalous with the number of mid majors that were ranked high on NET and some of the seasons that didn't result in a Dance bid.
There have been a lot of years where we had B12, B1G, SEC and ACC teams who had NETs in the 50s & 60s despite having losing records. I think there's a good chance if we get to the B12T with a winning record, we're in position to be on the bubble and could Dance by making some noise but not needing to win.
I think we're seeing the record the same way.The conversation should be, and ONLY should be, how are we getting to a .500 record. We won't win a game in Maui unless we draw Chaminade the last day. And that win counts for nada. Say we have 8 more non-conference games. A good bet is going 6-2 in those games. That's likely 6-5 in non-conference. In conference play at home let's say we beat ASU, BYU, Cincy, UCF, WV and pull one upset = 6 wins. There are only 3 possible wins on the road - ASU, Utah, OSU. That gets us to 14 wins if all plays out this way.
And also, there are people posting as if the past matters in 2025. REMEMBER: We have zero returning starters, our 6th man is gone as well, and we enter the top 1 or 2 conference in the country. A .500 record would be a success.
Chaminade is no longer a participant in the main tournament.The conversation should be, and ONLY should be, how are we getting to a .500 record. We won't win a game in Maui unless we draw Chaminade the last day. And that win counts for nada. Say we have 8 more non-conference games. A good bet is going 6-2 in those games. That's likely 6-5 in non-conference. In conference play at home let's say we beat ASU, BYU, Cincy, UCF, WV and pull one upset = 6 wins. There are only 3 possible wins on the road - ASU, Utah, OSU. That gets us to 14 wins if all plays out this way.
And also, there are people posting as if the past matters in 2025. REMEMBER: We have zero returning starters, our 6th man is gone as well, and we enter the top 1 or 2 conference in the country. A .500 record would be a success.
There goes our possible win!!!Chaminade is no longer a participant in the main tournament.