That would be a good thing. But if the loser of a CCG is ranked in the 10-12 range will they be bumped out in favor of something sitting right outside the 12-team field. Alot would depend on how close the first team out was before the CCG's.
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CFP Race 2024
- Thread starter Robert Sorell
- Start date
That would be a good thing. But if the loser of a CCG is ranked in the 10-12 range will they be bumped out in favor of something sitting right outside the 12-team field. Alot would depend on how close the first team out was before the CCG's.
It almost seems like the committee doesn't really believe in their own rankings, like "we're going to put Kansas State and SMU here because their records say we should, but we really don't think they're any good".
These rankings feel predictive, and I think they should be descriptive.
If the committee doesn't submit to poll inertia, then these might come out OK.
Basically, these rankings look like they should after Indiana loses to tOSU and SMU loses the ACC CCG to Miami...
However, I suspect Indiana drops if they lose their big game, and they don't jump Texas if they beat Michigan bigger than Texas did.
If the committee doesn't submit to poll inertia, then these might come out OK.
Basically, these rankings look like they should after Indiana loses to tOSU and SMU loses the ACC CCG to Miami...
However, I suspect Indiana drops if they lose their big game, and they don't jump Texas if they beat Michigan bigger than Texas did.
The CFP LLC’s only goal is to maximize buzz and ratings for their product. There’s no other rhyme or reason.
Hell, CU should be #1 in the rankings then.
As I’ve stated, if Colorado has 10 wins, we are in.
I agree with Klatt. Miami was very much given 2 early games by the refs.
Costa Rica Buff
Well-Known Member
In my uneducated opinion the two most likely paths are the following, both of which require winning out:
This is who I see as definitely in under the scenario above:
SEC- UGA, Texas, Tenn, Bama
BIG - UO,OSU,PSU
G5 - BSU
Independent - ND
BIG12 - League Champion
ACC - Miami
That would leave Clemson, CU, and Indiana fighting for the last spot. Hopefully Indiana gets shafted due to their crappy SOS. An outlier is if Army beats ND, which would add ND to the mix for the last spot (although I doubt they get a serious look) and Army to the CFP. What I would hate is if LSU beats Bama because of the ridiculous bias where all Bama's 'quality losses' are considered better than most other team's 'quality wins'.
If all this plays out, we land between 12th - 15th in the final poll before the selections. We'll need the committee to recognize CU's national TV draw vs those of a boring Clemson and Indiana's crappy SOS. They would be fools not to. CU can help their cause by blowing out at least 2 of their remaining foes.
- ISU loses
- CU beats BYU
- LSU (to Bama)
- Ole Miss (to UGA)
- Pitt (to Clemson)
- A&M (to Texas)
- KSU (to ISU)
- SMU (to Miami in ccg)
This is who I see as definitely in under the scenario above:
SEC- UGA, Texas, Tenn, Bama
BIG - UO,OSU,PSU
G5 - BSU
Independent - ND
BIG12 - League Champion
ACC - Miami
That would leave Clemson, CU, and Indiana fighting for the last spot. Hopefully Indiana gets shafted due to their crappy SOS. An outlier is if Army beats ND, which would add ND to the mix for the last spot (although I doubt they get a serious look) and Army to the CFP. What I would hate is if LSU beats Bama because of the ridiculous bias where all Bama's 'quality losses' are considered better than most other team's 'quality wins'.
If all this plays out, we land between 12th - 15th in the final poll before the selections. We'll need the committee to recognize CU's national TV draw vs those of a boring Clemson and Indiana's crappy SOS. They would be fools not to. CU can help their cause by blowing out at least 2 of their remaining foes.
I would still rather go to the CCG because it's only happened 5 times this century, and one time since the beginning of the previous decade. It's good for recruiting as well. But I get what you're saying.
Nah. I want as many games as possible with Shedeur and Travis rocking the Black & Gold and 10-3 while losing the CCG gives us one more. I also want us to be in contention for the CCG and therefore the playoff as long as possible.
I wanna see us in the CFP, period, point blank.
I think we're one of a few brands that could weather a CCG loss without dropping in the rankings.
Would depend on how the loss happened.
Based on probable results:
We just need to worry about tomorrow, that's it. Whatever happens with everybody else, we'll find out. Just take care of business.
Rankings will be interesting this week. Miami will drop like a rock but Georgia will be the interesting one. They can't be ranked above Ole Miss or Bama since they lost to both of them and all 3 have 2 losses. Good chance they drop out of the top 12
Probably because they lost pretty handedly.
Fowler also a member of the temple of doom
**** that guy next to Fowler! “Only SEC and B1G teams deserve to be in the playoff.”
ahoelsken
Well-Known Member
If Tennessee beats them, they will not make the playoff.
The SEC has real potential to be a nightmare with seven teams possibly ending at 10-2
Ole Miss, Bama and Mizzou are likely to win out and finish at 10-2 (Mizzou goes to South Carolina next week so that could be a loss for them).
Georgia beats Tennessee next week and both of those programs likely go 10-2
Texas A&M wins out and beats Texas in the last week and both of them go 10-2.
If all of that happens A&M plays in SECCG against whichever of the other six programs win the tie breaker. In that scenario, it would almost assuredly allow the CFP committee to put at least 5, if not 6 of those teams in the playoff.
Ole Miss, Bama and Mizzou are likely to win out and finish at 10-2 (Mizzou goes to South Carolina next week so that could be a loss for them).
Georgia beats Tennessee next week and both of those programs likely go 10-2
Texas A&M wins out and beats Texas in the last week and both of them go 10-2.
If all of that happens A&M plays in SECCG against whichever of the other six programs win the tie breaker. In that scenario, it would almost assuredly allow the CFP committee to put at least 5, if not 6 of those teams in the playoff.
Common opponent - Texas did better against /AT Michigan than Indiana did at home
Fixed
For the SEC, I feel like:
- UGA beats Tennessee
- Texas beats aTm
- Lord only knows what’s going to happen in the iron bowl
- and Tennessee better sleep with one eye open v Vandy
And for everyone’s sake, I hope Ohio St beats Indiana so a) Indiana can sneak in without the CCG, b) I thiiiink Ohio St has a better shot at beating Oregon…but then again, I have no idea.
6 SEC teams is simply not possible unless ND loses a game, and even then it's highly unlikley with the B1G having 4 very solid CFP teams at the moment.
B1G - 3 bare minimum with 4 being likely
ACC
Big12
ND
G5
That leaves 5 for the SEC and even that would only happen if 1 of tOSU, Oregon, IU, or PSU falls apart down the stretch
Projecting our Buffs at #16.