Indiana has beat 1 team with a winning record, and that's Nebraska at 5-4. Assuming they lose to tOSU by 2 TDs or more that's not a playoff worthy schedule.
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CFP Race 2024
- Thread starter Robert Sorell
- Start date
Indiana has beat 1 team with a winning record, and that's Nebraska at 5-4. Assuming they lose to tOSU by 2 TDs or more that's not a playoff worthy schedule.
Leaving out a 1 loss B1G team just doesn’t feel like an option but then again, there will be multiple 2 loss SEC programs that the committee will likely put in over them.
Major controversy will ensue and there will be clamoring for the B1G and SEC to have a certain amount of auto bids and/or the removal of that 5th conference champ autobid.
- A win over Vandy, who lost to Georgia State, is not very compelling to me. Neither is a result against Michigan, who's 5-5.
- Indiana has the 6th ranked Strength of Record. Texas is 10th. They are, at a minimum, comparable.
- Indiana probably could have challenged themselves a little more in their OOC schedule, but since when have B1G or SEC teams EVER been punished by the committee for OOC scheduling?
- They have blasted the **** out of their opponents. Up until last week, they were on track to be the only team since 1965 to beat every opponent by more than 2 scores. The average score in their 10 games: Indiana 44, opponent 14.
Now, I think this is all moot come Saturday because OSU seems to play to the level of their competition and I think they'll beat Indiana, but Indiana is a good team.
I was thinking about this the other day. If you rolled back the conference alignments to right before everything went nuts with ACC poaching Miami and VT and destabilizing the Big East and looked at last week's CFP top 25 rankings, you'd have:
- 6 B12 Teams (UT, AtM, ISU, KSU, Colorado, Mizzou)
- 5 SEC Teams (UGA, Tennessee, Bama, LSU, Ole Miss)
- 3 B1G Teams (OSU, PSU, Indiana)
- 2 P10 Teams (Oregon and WSU)
- 2 Big East Teams (Miami and Pitt)
- 1 ACC Team (Clemson)
- 1 Independent (ND)
- 5 G5 Teams (BYU (MWC), SMU (WAC), BSU (Big West), Louisville and Army (CUSA))
- Highest rated = Champ (Oregon (P10), OSU (B1G), UGA (SEC), Texas (B12), Miami (Big East), Clemson (ACC), BYU (G5))
- 2 B1G Team (PSU and Indiana)
- 2 SEC Teams (Tennessee and Bama)
- 1 Indy (ND)
How in the holy hell does Indiana have the 6th ranked SOS? We sure this isn’t 6th in the B1G?
Strength of Record. They've blown everyone out and for "game control" have barely been behind for a minute all year.
Really can’t compare basketball to football. Two completely different animals.
Fellas - I had a realization today.
If we keep winning, all the way through the Big 12 CCG, we will be the 4 seed in the playoff. (Possibly the #3 depending on ACC ****ery, but still most likely #4.)
One thing that I am almost certain is happening is that Ohio State will beat Oregon in the Big Ten CCG.
Which would mean that the top 5 playoff seeds would look like this: 1) Ohio State, 2) SEC champ, 3) ACC champ, 4) Buffs, 5) ****ing Ducks. Oregon will beat Georgia or whomever the committee sends to Eugene.
We are looking straight down the barrel at a faceoff with the most punchable face in America.
If we keep winning, all the way through the Big 12 CCG, we will be the 4 seed in the playoff. (Possibly the #3 depending on ACC ****ery, but still most likely #4.)
One thing that I am almost certain is happening is that Ohio State will beat Oregon in the Big Ten CCG.
Which would mean that the top 5 playoff seeds would look like this: 1) Ohio State, 2) SEC champ, 3) ACC champ, 4) Buffs, 5) ****ing Ducks. Oregon will beat Georgia or whomever the committee sends to Eugene.
We are looking straight down the barrel at a faceoff with the most punchable face in America.
BTW - that dude in Fowler's video who couldn't understand that the playoff couldn't just be SEC and Big Ten teams was 3 sheets to the wind. He probably is feeling dumb that thousands of people are watching that video, even if he's getting props in his DMs from Penn State and Ole Miss fans.
Edit: from the comments, that's one of Herbstreit's kids, which kinda explains the arrogant attitude.
Edit: from the comments, that's one of Herbstreit's kids, which kinda explains the arrogant attitude.
MarkW
Well-Known Member
CarlB
Well-Known Member
Part of the problem is that the SEC only plays 8 conference games, vs 9 games for the BIG. You would have fewer teams in the SEC having 1 or 2 losses with 9 conference games, which would clarify the decision as to which teams deserve an invitation to the CFP. Also, 8 conference games makes the SEC teams look better when compared to teams from other conferences than they might look otherwise.
Buffs up to 17th in the CFP rankings. Here’s a question…
Who gets the 4th seed in this scenario? A 2 loss Big 12 Champ Colorado or a one loss MWC Champ Boise st that is already currently ranked 13th?
Theoretically, if both keep winning they with keep moving up and if CU isn’t currently ranked ahead of them, why would they just magically jump Boise St in the final rankings? This would give Boise the last Bye and CU possibly being the 12 seed, facing either Ohio State or Oregon on the road.
Who gets the 4th seed in this scenario? A 2 loss Big 12 Champ Colorado or a one loss MWC Champ Boise st that is already currently ranked 13th?
Theoretically, if both keep winning they with keep moving up and if CU isn’t currently ranked ahead of them, why would they just magically jump Boise St in the final rankings? This would give Boise the last Bye and CU possibly being the 12 seed, facing either Ohio State or Oregon on the road.
Excellent. Keep on movin on.
Medford M.
Well-Known Member
Oregon is going to beat tOSU again.
We’d beat BYU in the CCG and Boise would beat CAssU or something on that tier
True. I guess that scenario is only there if we lose a regular season game and somehow still get into the CG and win that.
ahoelsken
Well-Known Member
Yeah I mean that's not hard to do when you're playing dog**** teams like Purdue, Maryland, Nebraska (they're three games away from completing their collapse), and Northwestern every week. Cute story, but that schedule has been a ****ing JOKE.
ahoelsken
Well-Known Member
I'm working under the assumption with this post that BYU is 12-0 going into the Big 12 CCG and CU is 10-2. In that case, you probably have something like......#4 BYU against like #9 CU in the Big 12 title game?
Nebraska stomped us. Why are you so bad at this?
All that said, the computers say that 5 teams are almost certain to make the playoffs:
Oregon
Notre Dame
Ohio State
Penn State
Indiana
ahoelsken
Well-Known Member
Two things. One, if you're going to take shots at members of this board who take shots against Nebraska, I'd recommend joining this board: You might like this one better.
Two, Indiana doesn't have a win over a bowl eligible team coming into this week. That includes Nebraska, who looks like they're trying their damndest to lengthen that bowl-less drought by another year. That isn't a good football team, and we played like absolute ass that night. That result doesn't matter though. If we win this league, its the playoff. If we don't, probably the Holiday Bowl.
ahoelsken
Well-Known Member
I'd agree with that, and I'd probably add Texas to that list.
Your aggressive inability to make a good argument is goddamn impressive
Or if BYU loses a game and then our CCG win wouldn't be impressive enough to jump us over Boise. We could potentially end up in a scenario where we need CSU to beat Boise to ensure we get the 4 seed.
ahoelsken
Well-Known Member
What did I say about Indiana that wasn't true, Snow?
And I was talking about them before you started talking about Nebraska-who isn't good. They're fighting to somehow get over that 5 win hump yet again, even with the ass-whipping they handed us in September.
Our best scenario is for a 10-2 CU to beat an undefeated BYU in the Big 12 Championship. Meanwhile, SMU winning the ACC would help since their 1 loss is to BYU. I'd like to see BYU to get in for a 2-bid conference, so I'll also be pulling for upsets and 2nd or 3rd losses from all contenders the rest of the way.
One thing I think could open things up would be Texas and Tennessee separating and a 3rd loss hung on the other teams that are in the SEC hunt. Could result in only 3 SEC teams.
I also don't write off the idea of Boise State and/or Notre Dame dropping a game. BSU has been winning closely against bad teams. ND already showed us they could get whipped by Northern Illinois.
ND seems to have learned from the NIU loss therefore I don't see them losing to UVA or Army. USC could potentially beat them though.
If that were to unfold, I'd gladly take another home game.
