Mizzou needs to stay in to help prop up the SEC SOS
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CFP Race 2024
- Thread starter Robert Sorell
- Start date
The problem is that right now Boise is 4 spots ahead of CU meaning they would have to go against their current rankings if both CU and Boise win out and just put CU ahead of them. If a 2 loss CU team isn't ranked higher than a 1 loss BSU team now, why would you just assume CU would jump them three weeks from now?
It's why we really do need BYU to win out and at least maintain a top 10-15 ranking so the committee can justify the move.
Guys, again - we would jump Boise after a CCG if we beat a ranked team who has ranked wins while Boise beats a team (we already beat easily) who has 0 ranking and 0 ranked wins
All you need to worry about is your holiday bowl flights after losing to Kansas
All you need to worry about is your holiday bowl flights after losing to Kansas
If BYU loses again, the committee is likely dropping them into the late 20s or maybe even out altogether. If we play and beat a 20something BYU or ASU team in the CCG, I don't think it's a guarantee we jump Boise. Still likely, but definitely not guaranteed.
If BYU loses, then they swap spots with ASU. We would then be playing a top 15ish ASU which would be a signature win.
BYU beating asu would strengthen their resume and pop them up a couple spots
I think it’s all good if we win out
Narrator: “they didn’t”
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And all this **** is irrelevant cause we are losing to kansas
Boise State slides into bye slot in CFP rankings
Boise State, which pulled away from San Jose State last Saturday, moved ahead of BYU in the rankings released by the College Football Playoff selection committee Tuesday, putting the Broncos in position to get a first-round bye ahead of the Big 12 champ.
Boise State over BYU for that fourth bye.
First round games:
BYU at Ohio State
Alabama at Norte Dame
Georgia at Penn State
Ole Miss at Indiana
Three out of four SEC teams travel to cold & frigid locations. SEC could be down to just Texas after one round.
ahoelsken
Well-Known Member
This had to have been where I saw that. I thought somebody with more credibility had that.
ahoelsken
Well-Known Member
Still a lot of football to be played.
this is all about optics and feeling good. if we win out, which as you note, is not a sure thing, we will have a first round bye.
y'all worry too much.
#1 pick
Well-Known Member
That guy is an idiot. Most SOS have CU higher or much higher
Boise’s loss to Oregon does A LOT of heavy lifting for their SOS. I’d like to see it without Oregon on there
Assuming CU ends up being Big 12 champs:
Would you rather get the 4-seed with a bye and locked in for 2nd round at a bowl site or a 5-8 seed hosting a 1st round playoff game at Folsom?
I think I'd prefer the home playoff game, but don't have a strong preference either way.
I also think that if CU wins its next 3 games we'll end up in the top 8 (from 16 now).
In short, it's all good if CU takes care of its business.
Would you rather get the 4-seed with a bye and locked in for 2nd round at a bowl site or a 5-8 seed hosting a 1st round playoff game at Folsom?
I think I'd prefer the home playoff game, but don't have a strong preference either way.
I also think that if CU wins its next 3 games we'll end up in the top 8 (from 16 now).
In short, it's all good if CU takes care of its business.
I think I'd prefer the first round bye since CU has played better away from home this season besides the Nebraska game.
But hosting a SEC team at Folsom Field in those cold December temperatures could be fun.
If CU doesn't get a bye, there's no chance at them shooting up the CFP rankings enough to get in the 5-8 seed range (too many SEC and B1G teams to jump). So yes, we definitely want a bye!
It's Vandy, by a FG.
If they lose to Texas A&M they might be sweating out the selection show, but Sankey and SEC fanbois will pull everything to try to get 5 SEC teams in no matter what.
| Conference | Team | AP Rank | CFP Rank | W | L | Con W | Con L | 11/23 | 11/30 | CCG | Best Win(s) | Losses | ESPN SOR |
| SEC | Texas | 3 | 3 | 9 | 1 | 5 | 1 | Kentucky | at Texas A&M | win and in | Vandy+3 | Georgia-(15) | 5 |
| SEC | Alabama | 7 | 7 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | at Oklahoma | Auburn | win and in??? | Georgia+7,Mizzou+34,SCaro+2 | atVandy(-5),atTenn(-7) | 7 |
| SEC | Ole Miss | 8 | 9 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | at Florida | Miss State | need help | atSCaro+24,Georgia+18 | Kentucky(-3),atLSU(-3) | 12 |
| SEC | Georgia | 9 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 2 | UMass | GaTech | need help | nClem+31,atTex+15,Tenn+14 | atBama(-7),atOleMiss(-18) | 2 |
| SEC | Tennessee | 10 | 11 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 2 | UTEP | at Vandy | need help | Bama+7 | atArk.(-5),atGeorgia-(14) | 10 |
| SEC | Texas A&M | 15 | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | at Auburn | Texas | win and in | Mizzou+31 | ND(-10), atS.Car(-24) | 11 |
| B1G | Oregon | 1 | 1 | 11 | 0 | 8 | 0 | BYE | Washington | IN | Boise+3, tOSU+1,Illinois+29 | 1 | |
| B1G | Ohio State | 2 | 2 | 9 | 1 | 6 | 1 | Indiana | Michigan | win and in | atPennSt+7 | atOregon(-1) | 3 |
| B1G | Penn State | 4 | 4 | 9 | 1 | 6 | 1 | at Minnesota | Maryland | need help | Illinois+14 | tOSU(-7) | 4 |
| B1G | Indiana | 5 | 5 | 10 | 0 | 7 | 0 | at Ohio State | Purdue | win and in | Washington+14 | 6 | |
| ACC | Miami | 11 | 8 | 9 | 1 | 5 | 1 | Wake | at Cuse | win and in | atL'ville+7 | atGTech(-5) | 9 |
| ACC | SMU | 13 | 13 | 9 | 1 | 6 | 0 | at Virginia | Cal | win and in | Pitt+23 | BYU(-3) | 14 |
| ACC | Clemson | 17 | 17 | 8 | 2 | 7 | 1 | Citadel | So. Carolina | need help | atPitt+4 | nGeorgia(-31),Lville(-12) | 17 |
| XII | BYU | 14 | 14 | 9 | 1 | 6 | 1 | at AZ State | Houston | win and in | atSMU+3 | Kansas(-4) | 8 |
| XII | Colorado | 16 | 16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 1 | at Kansas | Ok State | win and in | atTexTech+14 | atNebraska(-18),KsSt(-3) | 21 |
| XII | Arizona State | 21 | 21 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 2 | BYU | at Arizona | win and in | atKansSt+10 | atTxTech(-8),atCincy(-10) | 18 |
| XII | Iowa State | 22 | 22 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 2 | at Utah | Kansas State | need help | atIowa+1 | TxTech(-1),atKansas(-9) | 22 |
| Ind. | Notre Dame | 6 | 6 | 9 | 1 | n/a | n/a | at Army | at USC | n/a | atTexAM+10 | No.Ill.(-2) | 13 |
| MWC | Boise State | 12 | 12 | 9 | 1 | 6 | 0 | at Wyoming | Oregon St | likely CSU | WashSt+21 | atOregon(-3) | 15 |
| AAC | Army | 18 | 19 | 9 | 0 | 7 | 0 | Notre Dame | UTSA | vs Tulane | ECU+17 | 19 | |
| AAC | Tulane | 20 | 20 | 9 | 2 | 7 | 0 | BYE | Memphis | vs Army | atNavy+35 | KsSt(-7),atOkla(-15) | 27 |
I've got the three G5 teams with a path, and all the P4 teams still alive for CCG bids in that table.
Army vs. Tulane in already set in stone with each having 1 more conf. game, and the rest of the AAC with 2+ conf losses.
B1G announced there's no scenario where Oregon loses tiebreakers, even if they drop the game to Washington.
I'm not 100% on Bama having a clear path to the SEC title game, but I wasn't finding any scenarios where they're not in as one of the Texas teams will pick up a second SEC loss next week no matter what. https://bball.notnothing.net/sec.php?sport=fb
Notre Dame seems to clearly be in with 2 wins, and out (barring a slew of huge SEC upsets) with a loss to either Army or USC
If Army beats Notre Dame, there's some real fear that the XII won't secure an autobid if both Boise and Army win out; I still think the XII champ jumps Boise no matter what. Notre Dame probably wins by 20+ though, so it's probably moot. If Army loses to Notre Dame close, then handles Tulane in the CCG, there should be a Boise or Army conversation, but the committee seems to be set up to avoid that.
I think Clemson's only path is getting help and then winning the ACC. I think SMU is getting hosed a little bit in the rankings, and don't see them getting in if they lose the CCG to Miami. Miami maybe has a shot with a close loss in the ACC CCG.
I'm rooting even harder than normal for SEC upsets; Auburn could soften the bubble with a win over either A&M this week, or more importantly a win over Bama. Ole Miss traveling to Florida is very interesting. Vandy could KO Tennessee's hopes next week.
The four B1G Ten teams seem safe, barring a big upset.
BYU is getting hosed the most in the rankings, they should be side by side with Miami.
I don’t really see a scenario where we get a home playoff game. A lot of football left but the amount of teams ahead of us who aren’t likely going to lose makes a 5-8 seed highly unlikely.
That said, I would still choose the Bye. The goal is to advance as far as possible, not host Ole Miss or Georgia at Folsom.
Another one to watch with rivalry games always being unpredictable is Notre Dame at USC.
Trojans could end up being my 2nd favorite team this year.
1. They beat Nebraska.
2. They have provided valuable scouting services for CU recruits and even convinced some blue chips to look west.
3. Beat ND and I think we should send their fans a nice eGreeting Card this holiday season from AllBuffs. Maybe some Diet Pepsi for Lincoln, too.
Trojans could end up being my 2nd favorite team this year.
1. They beat Nebraska.
2. They have provided valuable scouting services for CU recruits and even convinced some blue chips to look west.
3. Beat ND and I think we should send their fans a nice eGreeting Card this holiday season from AllBuffs. Maybe some Diet Pepsi for Lincoln, too.
Looking at this weekend and running the games through my proprietary upset alert algorithm, there are a lot of higher ranked teams that are on upset alert this weekend. CU could make some big moves this weekend.
#1 Oregon - off
#5 IU @ #2 tOSU - upset potential = medium
KY @ #3 Texas - upset potential = nil
#4 PSU @ Minn. - upset potential = HIGH
#19 Army v. #6 ND - upset potential = low
#7 Bama v. Okla - upset potential = medium
WF @ #8 Miami - upset potential = nil
#9 Ole Miss @ UF - upset potential = HIGH
UMass @ #10 UGA - upset potential = nil
UTEP @ #11 Tenn - upset potential = nil
#12 BSU @ Wyo - upset potential = low to nil
#13 SMU @ UVA - upset potential = medium
#14 BYU @ #21 ASU - upset potential = OFF THE CHARTS HIGH
#15 aTm @ Auburn - upset potential = medium to low-high
#16 CU @ KU - upset potential = low
#1 Oregon - off
#5 IU @ #2 tOSU - upset potential = medium
KY @ #3 Texas - upset potential = nil
#4 PSU @ Minn. - upset potential = HIGH
#19 Army v. #6 ND - upset potential = low
#7 Bama v. Okla - upset potential = medium
WF @ #8 Miami - upset potential = nil
#9 Ole Miss @ UF - upset potential = HIGH
UMass @ #10 UGA - upset potential = nil
UTEP @ #11 Tenn - upset potential = nil
#12 BSU @ Wyo - upset potential = low to nil
#13 SMU @ UVA - upset potential = medium
#14 BYU @ #21 ASU - upset potential = OFF THE CHARTS HIGH
#15 aTm @ Auburn - upset potential = medium to low-high
#16 CU @ KU - upset potential = low
I would even upgrade Texas to low-mid
They’ve played pretty soft and Kentucky is a vintage trap game before the A&M game. Wouldn’t be surprised if this one is squirrelly
Yes, and uterus and atm have not played in several years, which just increases the game's profile and potential for both teams to be looking ahead.