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Official 2021 Football Season Prediction Thread

How many regular season wins will CU have in 2021

  • Total voters
    135
  • Poll closed .
manhattanbuff said:
Conference play will be vastly different. College football continues to be week to week. Did anybody give Stanford a shot against U$C? The 17.5 point dog Cardinal wins by two TDs.

Colorado’s main liabilities are its offensive game planning and lack of depth (anyone else notice that the pass rush evaportated after T. Lang went off hurt?).

This is still a 3-4 win team.
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So, just making sure I understand your point here. CFB fluctuates week to week and underdogs always have a chance to pull off an upset. But that same rule doesn’t apply to CU, they’ll just stink and never beat anyone they’re not supposed to?

Yeah, like lawdogg said, appreciate your consistency!
 
The Alabaster Yak said:
Disagree. Stanford beating USC by two TDs plays into my point. USC remains average, along w the rest of the conference outside of Oregon and UCLA. CUs defense is far better than you or anyone else have wanted to give it credit for this off-season. CU also won’t see the same talent level they saw yesterday for the rest of the year outside of Oregon
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Your point is not proven.

1. CU played its best defense in five seasons. That game was the anomaly.

2. It also showed my depth concern (see T. Lang departure late 4Q and pass rush gone).

3. You’re expecting CU to improve and nobody else to improve. The U$C-Stanford game yesterday doesn’t mean that U$C will play poorly on 2-October. Stanford was dogshyt against KState. They were a totally different team the next week.

4. Each week is different and about the matchup. Colorado has three physical games in a row against aTm, Minnesota, and ASU before the 2-Oct game. U$C has Wazzu and Oregon State. Assuming Colorado makes it healthy-ish through those four tough games, we have a must win against Arizona before more physical games against Cal and Oregon.

This team’s ceiling is five wins.
 
Lol you’re not at a Sportsbook here and nobody takes gambling as serious as you do. I said my initial prediction was 6 wins and after two weeks of watching the Buffs and the rest of the Pac 12 play, I’m sticking with it.

YOU said 3-4 wins, to which I said I disagreed with. You then responded with “shops open”. I disagree with 3-4 wins. I could see 5, but I’m predicting 6 with middling confidence.
 
manhattanbuff said:
He said 6 wins. I said 3-4. I already have a lot on under 5.5 before the season. Unless you’re laying -200, betting on 4.5 doesn’t seem to make sense to me.
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I get it, you’re not actually convinced we won’t win more. Which makes some of your posts here questionable.
 
BuffsNYC said:
I get it, you’re not actually convinced we won’t win more. Which makes some of your posts here questionable.
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???? I am an advantage gambler. You’re asking me to make a bet that’s worse than what I already have. I’m on the record that this is a four win (not including forfeits) team. They have a cap of five. If you wanna lay a price on over 4.5, we can have a conversation. If you’re trying to scam me out of 3.5, you’ll have to find a different sucker.
 
manhattanbuff said:
???? I am an advantage gambler. You’re asking me to make a bet that’s worse than what I already have. I’m on the record that this is a four win (not including forfeits) team. They have a cap of five. If you wanna lay a price on over 4.5, we can have a conversation. If you’re trying to scam me out of 3.5, you’ll have to find a different sucker.
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I’ll give you 4, so you’re guaranteed to push at worst.
 
Sure wins: AZ, Cal, OSU, UW based on their stinkers through 2 weeks. That's five wins to include UNC. Very probable loses: UO and UCLA. 50/50ish: MN, ASU, USC, UU (I'm not impressed with USC, ASU or UU after 2 weeks which should add an extra win among them, most likely ASU based on history). Floor is 5-7, ceiling is 9-3 (granted, that's a dream scenario), average is 7-5. They get 6-6 by getting just one of the 50/50ishs, which I think they get this week with MN. Wild card - we never beat USC or UU in Utah and we tend to peak in early October, collapse after that. If we can get the next 2, 7-5 is within our reach. If you think we only get 3-4 wins, you haven't seen AZ, Cal, OSU or UW play. Granted, OSU and Cal could require more effort than AZ/UW, but if coaching is adequate, should be wins. So in summary, we beat UNC, MN, ASU, AZ, Cal, OSU and UW to finish 7-5. Adding or swapping USC would be a major bonus and make KDs 2nd season an undisputed success. Less than 6 is a disappointment, 6 is a push. Chiv needs 7 to save his job, and maybe loses it anyway if we don't get >30 points average the rest of the way.
 
Hallett Hell said:
Sure wins: AZ, Cal, OSU, UW based on their stinkers through 2 weeks. That's five wins to include UNC. Very probable loses: UO and UCLA. 50/50ish: MN, ASU, USC, UU (I'm not impressed with USC, ASU or UU after 2 weeks which should add an extra win among them, most likely ASU based on history). Floor is 5-7, ceiling is 9-3 (granted, that's a dream scenario), average is 7-5. They get 6-6 by getting just one of the 50/50ishs, which I think they get this week with MN. Wild card - we never beat USC or UU in Utah and we tend to peak in early October, collapse after that. If we can get the next 2, 7-5 is within our reach. If you think we only get 3-4 wins, you haven't seen AZ, Cal, OSU or UW play. Granted, OSU and Cal could require more effort than AZ/UW, but if coaching is adequate, should be wins. So in summary, we beat UNC, MN, ASU, AZ, Cal, OSU and UW to finish 7-5. Adding or swapping USC would be a major bonus and make KDs 2nd season an undisputed success. Less than 6 is a disappointment, 6 is a push. Chiv needs 7 to save his job, and maybe loses it anyway if we don't get >30 points average the rest of the way.
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I’m not sure there is a “sure win” on the entire schedule. Not to say we’re going to lose every game, just none that I look at and chalk up as a lock W today.
 
SINKRATZ said:
I’m not sure there is a “sure win” on the entire schedule. Not to say we’re going to lose every game, just none that I look at and chalk up as a lock W today.
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AZ is still in this category for me. San Diego St had one of the worst offenses I’ve ever seen last year, and they ran Arizona out of the building. They can improve by the time we play them, but as of now they are like a bad Mountain West team
 
If yesterday's defensive starters plus Mustafa stay healthy all season, we might get to a bowl.

It's a long season. :(

But it could happen.

But on offense, I expect each defense we face to get better than the prior one, just like what happened the last time we had this OC.

Which is why I'm equivocal about our bowl chances even if the defense stays healthy.

Outside of the defensive turnovers or special teams giving us a short field, I'm not sure this offense can score more than 10 points in a game.
 
skibum said:
If yesterday's defensive starters plus Mustafa stay healthy all season, we might get to a bowl.

It's a long season. :(

But it could happen.

But on offense, I expect each defense we face to get better than the prior one, just like what happened the last time we had this OC.

Which is why I'm equivocal about our bowl chances even if the defense stays healthy.

Outside of the defensive turnovers or special teams giving us a short field, I'm not sure this offense can score more than 10 points in a game.
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This team reminds me of the 2002 team. I expect that our running game will improve as the season goes on and we will be fine on offense.
 
I thought 6-6 was possible a few weeks ago but it all hinged on how well the OL played. Forget about it. Chiaverini is shown the door. Langsdorf assumes OC in the interim. Game plans are massively simplified with more read option, standard blocking schemes, rollout and quick-read passing or QB run on third down (QB injury potential skyrockets but so what). All this has little effect on season win loss outcomes.

1-11, maybe 2-10 taking AZ into account.

2022 recruiting class will be the worst in a dozen years or more. Catastrophic transfer portal impacts in the offseason as top talent goes elsewhere.
 
Bliff Cranch said:
I thought 6-6 was possible a few weeks ago but it all hinged on how well the OL played. Forget about it. Chiaverini is shown the door. Langsdorf assumes OC in the interim. Game plans are massively simplified with more read option, standard blocking schemes, rollout and quick-read passing or QB run on third down (QB injury potential skyrockets but so what). All this has little effect on season win loss outcomes.

1-11, maybe 2-10 taking AZ into account.

2022 recruiting class will be the worst in a dozen years or more. Catastrophic transfer portal impacts in the offseason as top talent goes elsewhere.
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Arizona and Oregon State are the only possibly wins left on the schedule at this point, I'm afraid. Both at home and if with some positive breaks and we could win both.
 
Bliff Cranch said:
I thought 6-6 was possible a few weeks ago but it all hinged on how well the OL played. Forget about it. Chiaverini is shown the door. Langsdorf assumes OC in the interim. Game plans are massively simplified with more read option, standard blocking schemes, rollout and quick-read passing or QB run on third down (QB injury potential skyrockets but so what). All this has little effect on season win loss outcomes.

1-11, maybe 2-10 taking AZ into account.

2022 recruiting class will be the worst in a dozen years or more. Catastrophic transfer portal impacts in the offseason as top talent goes elsewhere.
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Couldn't we do all this with Chiaverini? Wasn't this actually his thing?
 
Hi.O said:
Couldn't we do all this with Chiaverini? Wasn't this actually his thing?
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2018 Chiaverini was heavy into jet sweeps, bubble screens, and yes RPO. Remember there was practically zero TE involvement then. Regardless, that’d be an improvement over whatever it is he’s trying now. After being reinstated as OC after HCMT maybe he changed up in an attempt to factor in the TE and become less predictable, his trademark. What he has now is a jumbled mess, though. Reverting to what worked, at least for a while, in the past is probably beyond his inflated ego at this point.
 
Bill Cody said:
I firmly believe that this team is going to surprise and look improved over last year by a good margin. But given our schedule, I think we only get to 6 wins if we remain mostly healthy. The aTm game will be really interesting to see if we can even keep their margin of victory within 21
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I am so ****ing stupid. I knew I was right in my initial reaction after Mel Tucker left and we hired KD. The fact that I was enticed to believe that we would win more than 2 games this years should tell you all how much of an optimist I am
 
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