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Official Allbuffs CFB gambling thread

Are you ___________ enough to play season win totals this year?

if so, here is summary of Action Network guys for SEC. First number is model, then their assessment.



LSU 7 plus / play at > 6.5
Bama 7.89 / Pass
Aub 6.3 / pass
aTm 7.48 / small play at 7
MSU 2.35 / best bet if under 4 / fade early
Ole Miss 5 / small play At 4
Ark 0.98 / bet!! Under 2

UGA 8.29 / pass
UF win total exactly right / better bet is +150 on ML vs UGA
UK 4.73 / juice wrong at -5 and + odds
Tenn 6.67 / pass
SoCar 4.09 / over is juiced too much at 5
Mizzou 2.75 / pass
Vandy .33 / under 1.5 for sure / now likely 1 / play it / juiced at 170. Ha.
 
hawg1 said:
I’m ready.

But... you know possible Covid implications on a team won’t be pre-announced.

I need a spotter in stands to send me assessments as teams run out of tunnels for walk through and warm up.
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The ONLY bet I am considering is fading LSU. They’re already decimated and have another handful of guys who are considering sitting out.
 
manhattanbuf said:
The ONLY bet I am considering is fading LSU. They’re already decimated and have another handful of guys who are considering sitting out.
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I hear you. They have 4 key games. Likely need to win 1 of those to get to 7. That’s the counter thesis from AN guys. I have not looked closely.
 
hawg1 said:
Are you ___________ enough to play season win totals this year?

if so, here is summary of Action Network guys for SEC. First number is model, then their assessment.



LSU 7 plus / play at > 6.5
Bama 7.89 / Pass
Aub 6.3 / pass
aTm 7.48 / small play at 7
MSU 2.35 / best bet if under 4 / fade early
Ole Miss 5 / small play At 4
Ark 0.98 / bet!! Under 2

UGA 8.29 / pass
UF win total exactly right / better bet is +150 on ML vs UGA
UK 4.73 / juice wrong at -5 and + odds
Tenn 6.67 / pass
SoCar 4.09 / over is juiced too much at 5
Mizzou 2.75 / pass
Vandy .33 / under 1.5 for sure / now likely 1 / play it / juiced at 170. Ha.
Click to expand...
No way Tenn wins 7 games
 
I had Clippers +9, Pirates +145, and UAB -20.5 yesterday

Haven't decided on anything yet today. Draft Kings has been having some crazy easy bets lately and have done well
 
patebuff said:
I had Clippers +9, Pirates +145, and UAB -20.5 yesterday

Haven't decided on anything yet today. Draft Kings has been having some crazy easy bets lately and have done well
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I’ve got Clips in 5. I’m concerned.

You seen any season win totals other than off shore?

Surely you meant Clips MINUS 9.
 
hawg1 said:
I’ve got Clips in 5. I’m concerned.

You seen any season win totals other than off shore?

Surely you meant Clips MINUS 9.
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Sorry. -9 Clippers

Got this tomorrow. MTSU +4 and Memphis over 74

I signed up for a fox sports bet on the Broncos with a winning record and you get $10 for every win they have this year in free bets.
 
Draft kings has a odds boost on kc +101 at -110. 50$ limit but it’s free money. Plus a million dollar survivor pool.
 
rscmac said:
Draft kings has a odds boost on kc +101 at -110. 50$ limit but it’s free money. Plus a million dollar survivor pool.
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Yeah, I've been sending it to anyone I know. It's about the easiest 45 bucks you could ever make in sports betting
 
hawg1 said:
Are you ___________ enough to play season win totals this year?

if so, here is summary of Action Network guys for SEC. First number is model, then their assessment.



LSU 7 plus / play at > 6.5
Bama 7.89 / Pass
Aub 6.3 / pass
aTm 7.48 / small play at 7
MSU 2.35 / best bet if under 4 / fade early
Ole Miss 5 / small play At 4
Ark 0.98 / bet!! Under 2

UGA 8.29 / pass
UF win total exactly right / better bet is +150 on ML vs UGA
UK 4.73 / juice wrong at -5 and + odds
Tenn 6.67 / pass
SoCar 4.09 / over is juiced too much at 5
Mizzou 2.75 / pass
Vandy .33 / under 1.5 for sure / now likely 1 / play it / juiced at 170. Ha.
Click to expand...
What happens if they miss a few games?
 
goalline said:
What happens if they miss a few games?
Click to expand...

That's my question, and kind of why I'm staying away from the win totals for at least CFB. Gonna go week by week this year. Got Arkansas State and the 19 tonight (that's way too many-ASU's a solid G5) and then I'm leaning Navy getting the 2 against Bring 'em Young (ironically the only team west of Texas playing something close to a fall season-I think AFA is going to go ahead and play Army and Navy this fall).

Probably will hit the NFL game unders hard next weekend. Expecting some pretty ugly football for at least a few weeks.
 
ahoelsken said:
That's my question, and kind of why I'm staying away from the win totals for at least CFB. Gonna go week by week this year. Got Arkansas State and the 19 tonight (that's way too many-ASU's a solid G5) and then I'm leaning Navy getting the 2 against Bring 'em Young (ironically the only team west of Texas playing something close to a fall season-I think AFA is going to go ahead and play Army and Navy this fall).

Probably will hit the NFL game unders hard next weekend. Expecting some pretty ugly football for at least a few weeks.
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I’ll read rules. Betonline is only place I know that has Totals so far.

I cashed Ark State as well. And, as you know, Memphis had players out. Could have easily been Ark State. 🤡🤡
 
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