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Official Allbuffs CFB gambling thread

hawg1

Club Member
Club Member
Are you ___________ enough to play season win totals this year?

if so, here is summary of Action Network guys for SEC. First number is model, then their assessment.



LSU 7 plus / play at > 6.5
Bama 7.89 / Pass
Aub 6.3 / pass
aTm 7.48 / small play at 7
MSU 2.35 / best bet if under 4 / fade early
Ole Miss 5 / small play At 4
Ark 0.98 / bet!! Under 2

UGA 8.29 / pass
UF win total exactly right / better bet is +150 on ML vs UGA
UK 4.73 / juice wrong at -5 and + odds
Tenn 6.67 / pass
SoCar 4.09 / over is juiced too much at 5
Mizzou 2.75 / pass
Vandy .33 / under 1.5 for sure / now likely 1 / play it / juiced at 170. Ha.
 

manhattanbuf

Club Member
Club Member
I’m ready.

But... you know possible Covid implications on a team won’t be pre-announced.

I need a spotter in stands to send me assessments as teams run out of tunnels for walk through and warm up.
The ONLY bet I am considering is fading LSU. They’re already decimated and have another handful of guys who are considering sitting out.
 

hawg1

Club Member
Club Member
The ONLY bet I am considering is fading LSU. They’re already decimated and have another handful of guys who are considering sitting out.
I hear you. They have 4 key games. Likely need to win 1 of those to get to 7. That’s the counter thesis from AN guys. I have not looked closely.
 

InTheBuff

Club Member
Club Member
Are you ___________ enough to play season win totals this year?

if so, here is summary of Action Network guys for SEC. First number is model, then their assessment.



LSU 7 plus / play at > 6.5
Bama 7.89 / Pass
Aub 6.3 / pass
aTm 7.48 / small play at 7
MSU 2.35 / best bet if under 4 / fade early
Ole Miss 5 / small play At 4
Ark 0.98 / bet!! Under 2

UGA 8.29 / pass
UF win total exactly right / better bet is +150 on ML vs UGA
UK 4.73 / juice wrong at -5 and + odds
Tenn 6.67 / pass
SoCar 4.09 / over is juiced too much at 5
Mizzou 2.75 / pass
Vandy .33 / under 1.5 for sure / now likely 1 / play it / juiced at 170. Ha.
No way Tenn wins 7 games
 

hawg1

Club Member
Club Member
Gonna look for Clippers in 5 series bet tomorrow.

What odds would be attractive?

Thanks.
 

patebuff

Club Member
Club Member
I had Clippers +9, Pirates +145, and UAB -20.5 yesterday

Haven't decided on anything yet today. Draft Kings has been having some crazy easy bets lately and have done well
 

hawg1

Club Member
Club Member
I had Clippers +9, Pirates +145, and UAB -20.5 yesterday

Haven't decided on anything yet today. Draft Kings has been having some crazy easy bets lately and have done well
I’ve got Clips in 5. I’m concerned.

You seen any season win totals other than off shore?

Surely you meant Clips MINUS 9.
 

patebuff

Club Member
Club Member
I’ve got Clips in 5. I’m concerned.

You seen any season win totals other than off shore?

Surely you meant Clips MINUS 9.
Sorry. -9 Clippers

Got this tomorrow. MTSU +4 and Memphis over 74

I signed up for a fox sports bet on the Broncos with a winning record and you get $10 for every win they have this year in free bets.
 

rscmac

Club Member
Club Member
Draft kings has a odds boost on kc +101 at -110. 50$ limit but it’s free money. Plus a million dollar survivor pool.
 

patebuff

Club Member
Club Member
Draft kings has a odds boost on kc +101 at -110. 50$ limit but it’s free money. Plus a million dollar survivor pool.
Yeah, I've been sending it to anyone I know. It's about the easiest 45 bucks you could ever make in sports betting
 

goalline

Still trying to miss the ground
Club Member
Are you ___________ enough to play season win totals this year?

if so, here is summary of Action Network guys for SEC. First number is model, then their assessment.



LSU 7 plus / play at > 6.5
Bama 7.89 / Pass
Aub 6.3 / pass
aTm 7.48 / small play at 7
MSU 2.35 / best bet if under 4 / fade early
Ole Miss 5 / small play At 4
Ark 0.98 / bet!! Under 2

UGA 8.29 / pass
UF win total exactly right / better bet is +150 on ML vs UGA
UK 4.73 / juice wrong at -5 and + odds
Tenn 6.67 / pass
SoCar 4.09 / over is juiced too much at 5
Mizzou 2.75 / pass
Vandy .33 / under 1.5 for sure / now likely 1 / play it / juiced at 170. Ha.
What happens if they miss a few games?
 

ahoelsken

Well-Known Member
What happens if they miss a few games?
That's my question, and kind of why I'm staying away from the win totals for at least CFB. Gonna go week by week this year. Got Arkansas State and the 19 tonight (that's way too many-ASU's a solid G5) and then I'm leaning Navy getting the 2 against Bring 'em Young (ironically the only team west of Texas playing something close to a fall season-I think AFA is going to go ahead and play Army and Navy this fall).

Probably will hit the NFL game unders hard next weekend. Expecting some pretty ugly football for at least a few weeks.
 

hawg1

Club Member
Club Member
That's my question, and kind of why I'm staying away from the win totals for at least CFB. Gonna go week by week this year. Got Arkansas State and the 19 tonight (that's way too many-ASU's a solid G5) and then I'm leaning Navy getting the 2 against Bring 'em Young (ironically the only team west of Texas playing something close to a fall season-I think AFA is going to go ahead and play Army and Navy this fall).

Probably will hit the NFL game unders hard next weekend. Expecting some pretty ugly football for at least a few weeks.
I’ll read rules. Betonline is only place I know that has Totals so far.

I cashed Ark State as well. And, as you know, Memphis had players out. Could have easily been Ark State. 🤡🤡
 
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