Menu
What's new
By:
Filters
AllBuffs | Unofficial fan site for the University of Colorado at Boulder Athletics programs

This is a sample guest message. Register a free account today to become a member! Once signed in, you'll be able to participate on this site by adding your own topics and posts, as well as connect with other members through your own private inbox!

  • Prime Time. Prime Time. Its a new era for Colorado football. Consider signing up for a club membership! For $20/year, you can get access to all the special features at Allbuffs, including club member only forums, dark mode, avatars and best of all no ads ! But seriously, please sign up so that we can pay the bills. No one earns money here, and we can use your $20 to keep this hellhole running. You can sign up for a club membership by navigating to your account in the upper right and clicking on "Account Upgrades". Make it happen!

Official Allbuffs CFB gambling thread

patebuff said:
That's normal. I've done well with live betting when I feel like action is easily pointing one way after watching a while. It most certainly can back fire, but you can sometimes find a better number, 4, 8, 11, etc. after some live action. However, you have to be careful with the juice. You'll get a lot of those at a higher rate than the original lines.

I live bet USC on Saturday after the 4th drive from Utah as their offense looked putrid and had heard they had barely practiced before that game, so felt comfortable at that point with USC -3. However, I believe it was -117 or something like that, where normal line is typically around -110, depending on where you bet.
Click to expand...
The changes are so quick, you don't have time to think about your options. It's more like you have to decide in advance: "if it hits "x" number I click the bet"
 
ahoelsken said:
Lions-Texans under Thursday morning at 51.5. That looks like it should hit-Detroit got shut out yesterday.
Click to expand...
Detroit on Thanksgiving scares the hell out of me. Houston has a ****ty defense. A lot hinges on if Swift plays or not as well as Golliday.
If they don't you should be ok but if they do...yikes.
 
InTheBuff said:
Detroit on Thanksgiving scares the hell out of me. Houston has a ****ty defense. A lot hinges on if Swift plays or not as well as Golliday.
If they don't you should be ok but if they do...yikes.
Click to expand...

There's part of me that wonders if the Lions are starting to quit on their coach.......but who knows. Gonna think about that one a bit more. I am thinking I'll go Pittsburgh -4 Thursday night. I think they beat the Ravens by at least a TD.
 
cu2x said:
The changes are so quick, you don't have time to think about your options. It's more like you have to decide in advance: "if it hits "x" number I click the bet"
Click to expand...
Yeah, that's typically what I do. I usually have a pre-determined number before I got with it.
 
I'm not trying to push this, but I wonder how many have on-line stock accounts. Almost every brokerage offers free trades (some frown on same day buy & sell.)
But, I think it is much easier to make money trading, than gambling. This is enhanced by the fact that tons of Americans have put their stimulus checks into the market, which has created a kind of sub-market that's more about popular trends and less about profit. Biden's election gave a jolt to electric vehicle stocks recently and if you could anticipate that, you could easily have made major profits. I honestly have made a lot of money since the virus hit
 
cu2x said:
I'm not trying to push this, but I wonder how many have on-line stock accounts. Almost every brokerage offers free trades (some frown on same day buy & sell.)
But, I think it is much easier to make money trading, than gambling. This is enhanced by the fact that tons of Americans have put their stimulus checks into the market, which has created a kind of sub-market that's more about popular trends and less about profit. Biden's election gave a jolt to electric vehicle stocks recently and if you could anticipate that, you could easily have made major profits. I honestly have made a lot of money since the virus hit
Click to expand...
I invest. Keep my gambling dollars separate.

tried to find good stay at home sectors. Now trying to find good vaccine enabled sectors.

plus biopharma.

is there an e-car ETF? I previously invested in some Chinese e-car companies.
 
cu2x said:
I'm not trying to push this, but I wonder how many have on-line stock accounts. Almost every brokerage offers free trades (some frown on same day buy & sell.)
But, I think it is much easier to make money trading, than gambling. This is enhanced by the fact that tons of Americans have put their stimulus checks into the market, which has created a kind of sub-market that's more about popular trends and less about profit. Biden's election gave a jolt to electric vehicle stocks recently and if you could anticipate that, you could easily have made major profits. I honestly have made a lot of money since the virus hit
Click to expand...
Historically, the S&P 500 has positive returns 3/4 quarters. I imagine that has actually improved to 80%+ over the last 10-12 years, so yes, unless you're picking random penny stocks, you are always going to make more money over time in the stock market than by sports gambling. If you find a handicapper with an 80%+ success rate, you should take out a second mortgage and follow his picks.
 
cu2x said:
I'm not trying to push this, but I wonder how many have on-line stock accounts. Almost every brokerage offers free trades (some frown on same day buy & sell.)
But, I think it is much easier to make money trading, than gambling. This is enhanced by the fact that tons of Americans have put their stimulus checks into the market, which has created a kind of sub-market that's more about popular trends and less about profit. Biden's election gave a jolt to electric vehicle stocks recently and if you could anticipate that, you could easily have made major profits. I honestly have made a lot of money since the virus hit
Click to expand...
A very small percentage of people make a big return on gambling. Most people who gamble do it recreationally. A certain percentage are just plain bad at it and have problems. Most people who make big returns on gambling have some type of handicapper that they either get tips from or buy picks from.
 
TSchekler said:
Historically, the S&P 500 has positive returns 3/4 quarters. I imagine that has actually improved to 80%+ over the last 10-12 years, so yes, unless you're picking random penny stocks, you are always going to make more money over time in the stock market than by sports gambling. If you find a handicapper with an 80%+ success rate, you should take out a second mortgage and follow his picks.
Click to expand...
Yeah, even the best handicappers typically only hit at a 56-60% rate throughout a year. The ebs and flows are insane and you have to be extremely disciplined if you truly want to make good money off of sports betting.
 
patebuff said:
A very small percentage of people make a big return on gambling. Most people who gamble do it recreationally. A certain percentage are just plain bad at it and have problems. Most people who make big returns on gambling have some type of handicapper that they either get tips from or buy picks from.
Click to expand...
This. I'm not gambling this year (Covid plus a 3 year old that means I'm not following football outside of CU) but when I did it was completely recreational.

I looked at it just like I look at going to a casino but sightly better odds at success. If I lost it all it wouldn't change how I act the next day. That also means when you win it doesn't change anything either. Generally speaking it is a cost - even if you win because as you pointed out investing would make you more money - but it's an entertainment cost.
 
some early NFL bets I like-

Dallas -3 over Washington
Giants -5 at Cincy (Bengals qb situation minus Burrow is lousy)
Steelers -4.5 over Baltimore

for college

AFA -5.5 over csu
Liberty -37.5 over UMass
Indiana/Maryland over 61.5
Northwestern -13.5 @ Midnight Mel
Buffs +12.5 @ usc
Bama/Auburn over 60.5
Miss St/Miss over 67.5
TCU -24 @ KU
 
InTheBuff said:
some early NFL bets I like-

Dallas -3 over Washington
Giants -5 at Cincy (Bengals qb situation minus Burrow is lousy)
Steelers -4.5 over Baltimore

for college

AFA -5.5 over csu
Liberty -37.5 over UMass
Indiana/Maryland over 61.5
Northwestern -13.5 @ Midnight Mel
Buffs +12.5 @ usc
Bama/Auburn over 60.5
Miss St/Miss over 67.5
TCU -24 @ KU
Click to expand...

Most of those look good. What about Iowa -13.5?
 
TSchekler said:
Historically, the S&P 500 has positive returns 3/4 quarters. I imagine that has actually improved to 80%+ over the last 10-12 years, so yes, unless you're picking random penny stocks, you are always going to make more money over time in the stock market than by sports gambling. If you find a handicapper with an 80%+ success rate, you should take out a second mortgage and follow his picks.
Click to expand...
Who is the best handicapper you know? Who do you follow?
 
hawg1 said:
Who is the best handicapper you know? Who do you follow?
Click to expand...
@manhattanbuf haha kidding... kind of...

I don't really follow any actual handicappers. I bet to make watching random games more interesting and my biggest problem is that I get suckered into too many parlays.

I like Tom Fornelli and Adam Kramer as general CFB follows and they will put out a few gambling picks every week that I will sometimes go with, but they are not handicappers.

Benjamin Allbright for NFL has been good.
 
cu2x said:
I'm not trying to push this, but I wonder how many have on-line stock accounts. Almost every brokerage offers free trades (some frown on same day buy & sell.)
But, I think it is much easier to make money trading, than gambling. This is enhanced by the fact that tons of Americans have put their stimulus checks into the market, which has created a kind of sub-market that's more about popular trends and less about profit. Biden's election gave a jolt to electric vehicle stocks recently and if you could anticipate that, you could easily have made major profits. I honestly have made a lot of money since the virus hit
Click to expand...
You misunderstand. This is entertainment, not investment (at least for me).

I loaded $200 into an account a month ago and I'm still working through that (although lately it is going down).

I haven't left the house in 2 weeks. With the current lock down, I suspect I won't eat out until January. Maybe.

What the hell else am I supposed to do for entertainment?!?
 
TSchekler said:
@manhattanbuf haha kidding... kind of...

I don't really follow any actual handicappers. I bet to make watching random games more interesting and my biggest problem is that I get suckered into too many parlays.

I like Tom Fornelli and Adam Kramer as general CFB follows and they will put out a few gambling picks every week that I will sometimes go with, but they are not handicappers.

Benjamin Allbright for NFL has been good.
Click to expand...
Someone who I think is pretty sharp for CFB is Preston Johnson (sportscheetah).
 
Highlander said:
You misunderstand. This is entertainment, not investment (at least for me).

I loaded $200 into an account a month ago and I'm still working through that (although lately it is going down).

I haven't left the house in 2 weeks. With the current lock down, I suspect I won't eat out until January. Maybe.

What the hell else am I supposed to do for entertainment?!?
Click to expand...
I get it, but I have a little cushion, so I find the intended short stock purchases entertaining too. I don't (hopefully) put sizable money on risky companies
 
cu2x said:
I get it, but I have a little cushion, so I find the intended short stock purchases entertaining too. I don't (hopefully) put sizable money on risky companies
Click to expand...
Speaking of which, do you or anyone else know of a free site to view the volume of short positions in a particular stock? I've never really cared before, but I have been curious how many folks may be trying to short Snowflake stock after we came out so crazy hot.
 
cu2x said:
I get it, but I have a little cushion, so I find the intended short stock purchases entertaining too. I don't (hopefully) put sizable money on risky companies
Click to expand...
I assume that you're not actually shorting stock, or at least have some automatic sell (well, I guess buy) orders in place - or better, that you're just buying some puts.

Actually shorting stocks is crazy risky on a limited budget - because there is literally no limit to how much money you can lose. (Yes, for those of you who don't know, you can lose *more* money than you put in if you truly short a stock.)
 
Yesterday I had Texans -3, Dal/Was over 46.5. Both winners. This morning-ISU/UT over 57. Looking at UCF/USF under 68, Oregon -13, and Stanford/Cal under 51
 
You must log in or register to reply here.
Back
Top