hawg1
Well-Known Member
You think GB had RZ momentum? Came up empty on three throws in 1H. Then 2H as well.
You hitting that 16 after busting 23 times in a row.
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- Thread starter ahoelsken
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You hitting that 16 after busting 23 times in a row.
hawg1
Well-Known Member
Where does it say it was the right decision? I’m curious where you’re getting your numbers.
You think Green Bay was getting a stop after the way that entire game played out?
hawg1
Well-Known Member
Don’t know. I’m arguing analytics not hypotheticals.
hawg1
Well-Known Member
First, there is no such thing as the right decision in this situation. There is the right mathematical decision though. There is a difference.
Matthew Davidow. Seth Walder also has info on it, although he’s on other side, but certainly close enough to make it a defensible discussion. I’m sure there are others.
hawg1
Well-Known Member
Yes. I said Seth Walder was on the other side.
A 27.5% chance versus a 25% chance is not playing in hypotheticals? Tampa had 14 3rd downs in that game. They were successful on 9 of them. Nothing hypothetical about that. Green Bay wasn’t getting the ball back.
hawg1
Well-Known Member
We have been over that. You are repeating yourself.
Analytics is by definition hypotheticals. I’m not a dinosaur that doesn’t think analytics has a place in sports, but to be a slave to the math and think that FG was a good idea is ridiculous. Football, and sports in general, are not an equation.
hawg1
Well-Known Member
hawg1
Well-Known Member
I’m not here to explain Moneyball to you.Soooo, maybe it wasn’t the “right decision mathematically”?
Hit that 16. Don't waiver.
Enjoy your evening.
Thank God. Because you’re doing a horrible job explaining why kicking a FG was “mathematically correct.” Maybe don’t contradict yourself next time.
hawg1
Well-Known Member
The odds of winning were greater by kicking the FG than for going for it according to an analytics expert.
Consistent stance. Every time, Moneyball Man.
Cool.
I took 3.5 with a 55% boost. Not much though.
My big gambling these days are on college b-ball
Need to merge this thread with the economy thread.
After Thursday's round at the Phoenix Open, I put $5 on Koepka to win at +3000. Nice little unexpected $150 winner this afternoon.
rscmac
Club Member
with kc not scoring a td my props went belly up. On to the ncaa tournament.
Free money alert Nuggets-Lakers 2/14, hammer the over promo on Draftkings, $25 max bet, total decreases by 1 for every 1000 bettors. The total starts at 200, so the game will likely go over that starting total, but the final total is going to be way lower. It’s already down to 128.
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what game?