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Official CU Head Coach Search Thread - Primetime

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CU can’t dictate terms. It is a negotiation. If CU wants a large buyout to handcuff the coach to the school, then the coach will want a fully guaranteed contract. Dorrell had that. Huge buyout, but huge guaranteed contract. Rick George failed to understand the dynamics that Dorrell was not at risk of being poached ever, so his buyout should have been low and the guarantee should have been low. This isn’t rocket science. On the flip side, the agents are unquestionably better negotiators, they do it more often, they informally collude, and they don’t have fans and media breathing down their neck.

To be a good negotiator, you have to understand the options and motivation of the other side. A really young coordinator at a strong P5 has a lot of options. They can cherry pick. The reason why CU was able to land Tucker is that he was passed over a lot and was getting old to shoot his shot. A coach in his mid 50s should have a high initial buyout but you can probably taper that off substantially down the line as fewer schools become interested in a coach as they reach a certain age. You can also negotiate targeted buyouts, with higher or lower figures depending on the school. Bottom line, there are a lot of negotiating points. CU has just been poor at doing it.
My point is that we cannot have a guy who comes in, starts to turn things around then takes a better deal after a year or two. At the same time, we need to give that coach the tools he needs to succeed.

Everyone here talks about how awful Tucker’s contract was and now you guys are saying we aren’t in a position to have a better one. I’m confused.
 
My point is that we cannot have a guy who comes in, starts to turn things around then takes a better deal after a year or two. At the same time, we need to give that coach the tools he needs to succeed.

Everyone here talks about how awful Tucker’s contract was and now you guys are saying we aren’t in a position to have a better one. I’m confused.
I think CU can negotiate a very high buyout in years one and two, medium after year three, and low thereafter on a five year deal. If CU wants a really high buyout for all five years, then the guaranteed money to the coach will also be high.

Id protect initially then taper the buyout. If coach is successful and leaves after three years so be it.
 
My point is that we cannot have a guy who comes in, starts to turn things around then takes a better deal after a year or two. At the same time, we need to give that coach the tools he needs to succeed.

Everyone here talks about how awful Tucker’s contract was and now you guys are saying we aren’t in a position to have a better one. I’m confused.
Do you read the messages? As Creebuzz mentioned, with Tucker, Colorado had leverage given his age and experience getting passed over for many years prior for HC jobs. Colorado at that time was not the worst P5 program (and one of the worst 2-3 in all of FBS). We just completed a facility upgrade and had commitments to improve the recruiting infrastructure.

Today, Colorado does not have the same leverage it did when Mel Tucker was hired. We have a lame duck Athletic Director and significant question marks about the future of the football team.

If Colorado has aspirations of hiring an up and coming coach, the points of leverage are nonexistent.
 
I think CU can negotiate a very high buyout in years one and two, medium after year three, and low thereafter on a five year deal. If CU wants a really high buyout for all five years, then the guaranteed money to the coach will also be high.

Id protect initially then taper the buyout. If coach is successful and leaves after three years so be it.
Yes. I agree with you there.
 
I think CU can negotiate a very high buyout in years one and two, medium after year three, and low thereafter on a five year deal. If CU wants a really high buyout for all five years, then the guaranteed money to the coach will also be high.

Id protect initially then taper the buyout. If coach is successful and leaves after three years so be it.
Per your last message, Colorado doesn’t have the leverage to make this demand.
 
Per your last message, Colorado doesn’t have the leverage to make this demand.
I agree that it is far from an ideal situation. I would also add “questions about conference affiliation” to the list of CU headwinds.

At the same time, leverage is also dependent on the coaching target. An older coach seeing his window closing can be flexible. These jobs are still few and far between.

I posted about the Dave Doeren hiring proces a few days ago. At the time, he was young, coming off a top 25 season at Northern Illinois, and he was quoted in the article saying he felt he had a good returning team. That’s a guy who could be choosy.

Not that he is a target, but Cignetti at JMU at age 61 has considerably less leverage.

These are just straw men to make my point, but as a poker player I’m sure you get all of this clearly. A skilled player can turn a pair of deuces into a winning hand.
 
I agree that it is far from an ideal situation. I would also add “questions about conference affiliation” to the list of CU headwinds.

At the same time, leverage is also dependent on the coaching target. An older coach seeing his window closing can be flexible. These jobs are still few and far between.

I posted about the Dave Doeren hiring proces a few days ago. At the time, he was young, coming off a top 25 season at Northern Illinois, and he was quoted in the article saying he felt he had a good returning team. That’s a guy who could be choosy.

Not that he is a target, but Cignetti at JMU at age 61 has considerably less leverage.

These are just straw men to make my point, but as a poker player I’m sure you get all of this clearly.
I agree with you. My contention is that if Colorado wants an excellent, up and coming coach or a coach with other options, we don’t have leverage.
 
Do you read the messages? As Creebuzz mentioned, with Tucker, Colorado had leverage given his age and experience getting passed over for many years prior for HC jobs. Colorado at that time was not the worst P5 program (and one of the worst 2-3 in all of FBS). We just completed a facility upgrade and had commitments to improve the recruiting infrastructure.

Today, Colorado does not have the same leverage it did when Mel Tucker was hired. We have a lame duck Athletic Director and significant question marks about the future of the football team.

If Colorado has aspirations of hiring an up and coming coach, the points of leverage are nonexistent.

This is why we should not be hiring an "up and coming coach." We should be looking at older coordinators who haven't been given a shot as HC--like Lubick, Snyder, et al. This is why Grimes should be the guy. Nobody is going to poach a guy like that unless and until he wins 10 games in Boulder--not because he's not a good coach, but because, for whatever reason, P5 schools have already decided he's not a HC in their opinion.
 
This is why we should not be hiring an "up and coming coach." We should be looking at older coordinators who haven't been given a shot as HC--like Lubick, Snyder, et al. This is why Grimes should be the guy. Nobody is going to poach a guy like that unless and until he wins 10 games in Boulder--not because he's not a good coach, but because, for whatever reason, P5 schools have already decided he's not a HC in their opinion.
I am on board with Grimes, specifically, because I like what he brings to the table schematically. I think it is a poor idea to eliminate a selected candidate simply because of the stage of their career.
 
I am on board with Grimes, specifically, because I like what he brings to the table schematically. I think it is a poor idea to eliminate a selected candidate simply because of the stage of their career.

But isn't that what you've been implicitly saying?

If CU has no leverage and consequently cannot get an up and coming coach to sign a contract with a large buyout amount, there's literally no way to keep that coach if an SEC or B10 programs enters the picture. You can say all you want about fixing the administrative culture, but that's not gonna make a difference when other programs can offer to double a salary. If Ryan Walters is hired and goes to a bowl game next season, he'll be on every B10 and SEC list. If Grimes does the same, those same programs will have no interest.

Almost as much as it needs a winner, this program needs stability. Not only for financial and other obvious reasons, but because a coach who's here for 5+ years will be able to do more to change the administration than one who's here for 2 or 3.
 
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Colorado is not in any position to make demands of any excellent coach. Colorado needs to prove their desire to retain the hired coach with resources and support. If the coach is good enough to garner interest from another program, that means we are no longer the worst P5 team and will be in position to get another excellent coach. The attitude you espouse above is exactly what gave the school Karl Dorrell.
I’ve been glad to see president Saliman showing interested in the CU football program. It’s a good sign so far. I agree that CU needs to show the next coach that they’re serious about having a football program.
 
But isn't that what you've been implicitly saying?

If CU has no leverage and consequently cannot get an up and coming coach to sign a contract with a large buyout amount, there's literally no way to keep that coach if an SEC or B10 programs enters the picture. You can say all you want about fixing the administrative culture, but that's not gonna make a difference when other programs can offer to double a salary. If Ryan Walters is hired and goes to a bowl game next season, he'll be on every B10 and SEC list. If Grimes does the same, those same programs will have no interest.

Almost as much as it needs a winner, this program needs stability. Not only for financial and other obvious reasons, but because a coach who's here for 5+ years will be able to do more to change the administration than one who's here for 2 or 3.
It is not what I’ve been implying at all. I don’t have any delusions that Colorado with Rick George as AD is anything other than a stepping stone program for coaches and players. The job of the Athletic Director is to create a situation wherein an excellent coach has the resources and support to stay. If a richer program wants to poach Colorado’s HC, they will do so. Stability comes when the Athletic Director is good at raising tons of money and convincing admins to create a hospitable environment for a successful football program.
 
But isn't that what you've been implicitly saying?

If CU has no leverage and consequently cannot get an up and coming coach to sign a contract with a large buyout amount, there's literally no way to keep that coach if an SEC or B10 programs enters the picture. You can say all you want about fixing the administrative culture, but that's not gonna make a difference when other programs can offer to double a salary. If Ryan Walters is hired and goes to a bowl game next season, he'll be on every B10 and SEC list. If Grimes does the same, those same programs will have no interest.

Almost as much as it needs a winner, this program needs stability. Not only for financial and other obvious reasons, but because a coach who's here for 5+ years will be able to do more to change the administration than one who's here for 2 or 3.
Nothing we do contractually is going to prevent a wealthy BIG or SEC program from poaching our coach if he shows success. The sooner we accept that and act accordingly, the better. Hire the best coach we can and let the chips fall where they may. If our next coach is successful and gets hired away, we’ll have much more to sell to his replacement.
 
It is not what I’ve been implying at all. I don’t have any delusions that Colorado with Rick George as AD is anything other than a stepping stone program for coaches and players. The job of the Athletic Director is to create a situation wherein an excellent coach has the resources and support to stay. If a richer program wants to poach Colorado’s HC, they will do so. Stability comes when the Athletic Director is good at raising tons of money and convincing admins to create a hospitable environment for a successful football program.

I disagree. Obviously, any team outside of the SEC and B10 (and a few others--USC, Notre Dame) is a stepping stone program, in that they cannot pay what those programs can. That doesn't mean that those programs have to accept that they will have HC turnover every 3 or 4 years--either because a winning coach is poached or a losing coach is fired. CU should target a coach who is both a winner and does not fit the ideal that richer programs seek--very few top-paying programs are going to be able to sell a 60+ year old coach (which is what Grimes would be if he is hired and wins at CU) to their boosters. Remember what happened to Mike Price at Alabama?
 
I disagree. Obviously, any team outside of the SEC and B10 (and a few others--USC, Notre Dame) is a stepping stone program, in that they cannot pay what those programs can. That doesn't mean that those programs have to accept that they will have HC turnover every 3 or 4 years--either because a winning coach is poached or a losing coach is fired. CU should target a coach who is both a winner and does not fit the ideal that richer programs seek--very few top-paying programs are going to be able to sell a 60+ year old coach (which is what Grimes would be if he is hired and wins at CU) to their boosters. Remember what happened to Mike Price at Alabama?
Other programs have ADs who create an environment that’s hospitable for successful people. Most of them don’t hire guys who are in their late 50s/early 60s simply because they’ll be undesirable to more successful programs.
 
Build the argument for the person running point on negotiating for CU. What do you attempt to cling to for leverage…assuming conceding that you have none is not an acceptable answer.
By eliminating candidates who would take your job without onerous buyout limits, you’ve already conceded that you have no leverage in negotiations with the best coaching options for your program.

The focus in this search should not be driven by the fear of a candidate leaving. The coaching search should center around the coach who will get Colorado winning again. The search for the next Athletic Director and President should be for folks can raise a lot of money and make the program more desirable for winners.
 
By eliminating candidates who would take your job without onerous buyout limits, you’ve already conceded that you have no leverage in negotiations with the best coaching options for your program.

The focus in this search should not be driven by the fear of a candidate leaving. The coaching search should center around the coach who will get Colorado winning again. The search for the next Athletic Director and President should be for folks can raise a lot of money and make the program more desirable for winners.
Don’t personally disagree, and don’t really think anybody else is disagreeing. There is tough, a vast middle ground between “onerous” buyout terms and something a little more than what was included in Tuck’s deal. If a guy has success in Boulder and some school wants to poach him, great. He goes on and gets the bag, CU has elevated its performance/perception, and the school gets some coin to help hire the next guy to keep the party going.
 
Other programs have ADs who create an environment that’s hospitable for successful people. Most of them don’t hire guys who are in their late 50s/early 60s simply because they’ll be undesirable to more successful programs.

All I'm saying is that CU, in its current state, should be looking for undervalued assets. Grimes is one. Walters is not.
 
I disagree. Obviously, any team outside of the SEC and B10 (and a few others--USC, Notre Dame) is a stepping stone program, in that they cannot pay what those programs can. That doesn't mean that those programs have to accept that they will have HC turnover every 3 or 4 years--either because a winning coach is poached or a losing coach is fired. CU should target a coach who is both a winner and does not fit the ideal that richer programs seek--very few top-paying programs are going to be able to sell a 60+ year old coach (which is what Grimes would be if he is hired and wins at CU) to their boosters. Remember what happened to Mike Price at Alabama?
Choosing the right HC for your program is an extremely difficult thing to do and the consequence of hiring the wrong guy can be disastrous. Putting criteria like this on a candidate makes that difficult job even harder and increases the risk of failure.

The downside of hiring the wrong coach is infinitely worse than hiring someone who gets poached in 3 years.
 
Don’t personally disagree, and don’t really think anybody else is disagreeing. There is tough, a vast middle ground between “onerous” buyout terms and something a little more than what was included in Tuck’s deal. If a guy has success in Boulder and some school wants to poach him, great. He goes on and gets the bag, CU has elevated its performance/perception, and the school gets some coin to help hire the next guy to keep the party going.
I think you’re overlooking that Colorado was in a far superior leverage position with Tucker in 2019 than they are with a new hire in 2022. It was malpractice for Colorado to enable an easy buyout when we hired Tucker back then. In 2022, during this cycle, Colorado does not have anywhere near the same amount of leverage.

1) worst P5 team/bottom 2-3 FBS team
2) lame duck AD
3) uncertain conference future
4) meh facilities
5) nonexistent recruiting infrastructure
6) horrible nutrition program
7) broke NIL collectives
8) dreadful Dorrell contract the financial starting point for next deal
9) piss-poor roster
10) albatross legacy coaches new guy will likely be required to retain
11) other stuff I’m not thinking of right now…
 
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