If we stop the run, I'm going with 5+
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Official CU vs. Baylor Score Prediction Thread
- Thread starter Duff Man
- Start date
Kahlil Tate would like a word too, but he is still out of breath....
CU more than the Baptist rapping murders, allegedly
"Really good defense" against atrocious teams & a Rising-less Utah
My primary concern is they generated a good number of sacks against very few passing attempts. The OL is getting another stress test on Saturday night.
Yeah, I think jury is still out on them. Aranda is a good defensive coach so I’m sure they’ll be schematically sound, but they were getting torched against Utah when Rising was in there. Gave up 6.2 ypc (19 carries) to Utahs RB1.
Ok they also played Tarrelton St & Air Force, two horrible teams. Against the only decent team they played they were trash.
Baylor defense has faced 46 total pass attempts through three games. For reference, CU threw it 49 times last week vs CSU
We were trash against the only good team we played too
Nebraska on the road is far tougher than Baylor at home, let's not be disingenuous here. Nor was the defense bad against Nebraska, if Baylor had the Nebraska DL it would be a different story.
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Aren't you being disingenuous by avoiding the point?
Im not avoiding the point, Baylor at home is not Nebraska on the road.
GoBuffs08
Well-Known Member
CU looked like crap against NDSU. CSU is a horrible team and CU should have easily put up 40+ points. Neither win makes me believe the Oline has solved any problems. Bailer might not have Nub Dline, but they are going to be way better than whatever CSU and NDSU have.
CU didn't look like crap against NDSU, it took about a quarter, quarter & a half to get going, but they definitely didn't look like crap. An 80.3 PFF grade for the game is not crap.
NDSU did nothing in the 2nd half outside of 1 drive. OL has definitely made progress with the changes they made last week. These are some really ****ty front 7 grades against Utah.
CU puts up 500 yards of offense in week one and that's "looking like crap". Got it.
GoBuffs08
Well-Known Member
The 2.5 yards per carry rushing was elite
So the running game looked like crap? Just making sure and glad we established since it hasn’t been discussed at all so far
Let's ignore the 0.4201 EPA. Rushing EPA was 0.014 which is a net positive in the grand scheme. 54% success rate, 56% on standard downs.
This has been addressed elsewhere on this board. No, they don't.
My point was that both Baylor and us were trash against the only good teams we played.
They have played crap but a lot of advanced metrics have them as a good defense. ESPN fpi has us as the 70th best D, and Baylor at 39
Other websites have them in the top 20
NDSU is a good team & played well. Nebraska was bad but once again a road game against a rival with a top tier DL is not anywhere near Baylor.
Those rankings are heavily influenced by prior year results
Are they? From what I saw they had a terrible defense in 2023
An Aranda team is going to have a well coached defense and be game managed to support the defense.
Just accept that, folks.
The key for CU to control this game is to make them play from behind and force them to open up their offense. My biggest concern is that we start slow and let them hang around in a field position battle.
Just accept that, folks.
The key for CU to control this game is to make them play from behind and force them to open up their offense. My biggest concern is that we start slow and let them hang around in a field position battle.