Most years, I think the Pac-12 resumes would mean 4 bids max. But this year? We've got 7 teams that would already be at 20+ wins if they were playing in the SEC.
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2012-13 Bubble Watch
- Thread starter Buffnik
- Start date
Most years, I think the Pac-12 resumes would mean 4 bids max. But this year? We've got 7 teams that would already be at 20+ wins if they were playing in the SEC.
CVilleBuff
Well-Known Member
Loved the UVA fan trying to tell me CU still has serious work to do and that there's zero chance a miserable conference like the Pac could ever get 5 teams in. Enjoy your RPI of 71st buddy, I'll enjoy mine of 15th. The arrogance of the ACC is simply astounding. NOTHING would be better than sticking it to an ACC team in the Dance. They're so superior to us...nevermind the Pac is 3-1 against the ACC this year. The irony is they'll get 5 teams in the Dance maximum if they're extremely lucky and somehow find a way to squeak UNC and UVA in.
CVilleBuff
Well-Known Member
One big bubble game tomorrow
Georgetown at Cincinnati -- Cincinnati is 19-6, 7-5 with an RPI of 34th. However, their remaining schedule is extremely difficult. Georgetown, at UConn, at Notre Dame, UConn, at Louisville, South Florida. They could easily lose 4/6 of those. Cincinnati is far from a lock. Georgetown tomorrow is a must-win for them of they face complete collapse.
Also, buried by our game tonight was Temple. Temple lost at home 84-83, to previously 7-16, 0-9 Duquesne with an RPI of 215th. That's it for Temple. The Owls drop to 16-8, 5-5. But it just doesn't matter. When you're a bubble team, a home loss to Duquesne means your March Madness hopes are done. Temple can be crossed off our lost. This bubble is SOFT. Golden opportunity for CU to really end up with a surprisingly decent seed.
Georgetown at Cincinnati -- Cincinnati is 19-6, 7-5 with an RPI of 34th. However, their remaining schedule is extremely difficult. Georgetown, at UConn, at Notre Dame, UConn, at Louisville, South Florida. They could easily lose 4/6 of those. Cincinnati is far from a lock. Georgetown tomorrow is a must-win for them of they face complete collapse.
Also, buried by our game tonight was Temple. Temple lost at home 84-83, to previously 7-16, 0-9 Duquesne with an RPI of 215th. That's it for Temple. The Owls drop to 16-8, 5-5. But it just doesn't matter. When you're a bubble team, a home loss to Duquesne means your March Madness hopes are done. Temple can be crossed off our lost. This bubble is SOFT. Golden opportunity for CU to really end up with a surprisingly decent seed.
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:lol:
Even in down years they still think the ACC is the gold standard when it comes to basketball even though the Big East has been the clearly dominant conference in recent years.
That would be something. AF has some chances to play their way in with a few big games left but DU would have to win their conference tournament. But the best part about it is that we can seriously think about making a run to the Sweet 16 and break that 40+ year drought.
You found a group of ACC fans to have a half hour discussion of Pac12 hoops at 3 in the morning? No wonder that conversation didn't go well....
CVilleBuff
Well-Known Member
Georgetown went into Cincinnati and won 62-55, dropping the Bearcats to 19-7, 7-6. Cincinnati went into this with an RPI of 32nd, but they are no lock after losing this on their home court folks. Remaining games are at UConn, at Notre Dame, UConn, at Louisville, South Florida. They've already just dropped 3/4, and this tough remaining stretch means not only can we pass Cincinnati in seeding, but that they may end up in jeopardy of making the Dance if they aren't able to get a couple big wins down the stretch.
CVilleBuff
Well-Known Member
Full slate of bubble action Saturday
Virginia at North Carolina. Hoos are 18-6, 8-3 with good wins, but horrible losses. They desperately need to keep boosting their RPI. Heels are 16-8, 6-5 and stumbling. Virginia is undoubtedly playing the better basketball of the two and completely shut down Carolina's offense, holding them to 52 in their victory over the Heels in Charlottesville. This is two teams fighting for their Big Dance lives. Hopefully the refs let 'em play.
Kentucky at Tennessee - Must win for a 17-7, 8-3 Wildcats squad with an RPI of 40. They're on extremely thin ice, no margin for error.
St. Joseph's at La Salle -- La Salle is on track to be one of the last teams in or first teams out. Must take care of business at home down the stretch.
Oklahoma at Oklahoma State -- How will the Sooners hold up with Hield injured is the question here. Right now, they're on solid ground, but there is more than enough time left for injuries to cause the 16-7, 7-4 Sooners to fall into the danger zone.
TCU at Iowa State -- If you're a bubble team and you lose to TCU at home. You are out. It's that simple.
Virginia Tech at NC State -- Wouldn't call NC State a bubble team, but they've stumbled and now sit 17-7, 6-5. One more unexpected bad loss like this one would be, and they would officially be in some trouble.
Creighton at Evansville -- Creighton has dropped 3 straight and their RPI has fallen to 50. It's looking like they'll need to win the MVC Tournament, as it's looking like a 1 bid league.
Colorado State at Air Force -- Hey, AFA is a big time long shot, but they're 15-8, 6-4 with an RPI of 62. If they were able to knock off CSU with the Rams' excellent RPI, the Falcons would officially be a legitimate bubble team on this soft bubble.
Missouri at Arkansas -- Missouri finally won their first road game at a horrendous Mississippi State team earlier in the week. Arkansas is no easy place to play though, and a loss would prevent Missouri from being officially safe, IMO.
South Carolina at Alabama -- Bama is in deep ****. Their RPI is 61st, but their only chance for any remote RPI boosters are both on the road at Florida and Ole Miss. Baring some major road upsets, the Tide don't stand a chance.
Duke at Maryland -- This is Maryland's last stand. Virginia's win at College Park devastated their chances. Only a major upset over Duke can give them any hope, as they now sit just 5-6 in the ACC with an RPI of 70th.
Baylor at Kansas State -- Baylor needs quality wins, and badly. RPI 49th. Here's a chance.
St. Mary's at Loyola Marymount -- Somehow, despite no good wins and some sketchy losses, St. Mary's is in the picture. One more bad loss and they're done.
Georgia at Ole Miss -- Ole Miss RPI remains in the mid 40s, they can't afford any unexpected weak home losses or they'll be in jeopardy. For now they're definitely safe.
San Diego State at UNLV -- UNLV desperately needs to avoid going under .500 in the MWC. This is a chance for a home win that would nearly bring them to safety.
Virginia at North Carolina. Hoos are 18-6, 8-3 with good wins, but horrible losses. They desperately need to keep boosting their RPI. Heels are 16-8, 6-5 and stumbling. Virginia is undoubtedly playing the better basketball of the two and completely shut down Carolina's offense, holding them to 52 in their victory over the Heels in Charlottesville. This is two teams fighting for their Big Dance lives. Hopefully the refs let 'em play.
Kentucky at Tennessee - Must win for a 17-7, 8-3 Wildcats squad with an RPI of 40. They're on extremely thin ice, no margin for error.
St. Joseph's at La Salle -- La Salle is on track to be one of the last teams in or first teams out. Must take care of business at home down the stretch.
Oklahoma at Oklahoma State -- How will the Sooners hold up with Hield injured is the question here. Right now, they're on solid ground, but there is more than enough time left for injuries to cause the 16-7, 7-4 Sooners to fall into the danger zone.
TCU at Iowa State -- If you're a bubble team and you lose to TCU at home. You are out. It's that simple.
Virginia Tech at NC State -- Wouldn't call NC State a bubble team, but they've stumbled and now sit 17-7, 6-5. One more unexpected bad loss like this one would be, and they would officially be in some trouble.
Creighton at Evansville -- Creighton has dropped 3 straight and their RPI has fallen to 50. It's looking like they'll need to win the MVC Tournament, as it's looking like a 1 bid league.
Colorado State at Air Force -- Hey, AFA is a big time long shot, but they're 15-8, 6-4 with an RPI of 62. If they were able to knock off CSU with the Rams' excellent RPI, the Falcons would officially be a legitimate bubble team on this soft bubble.
Missouri at Arkansas -- Missouri finally won their first road game at a horrendous Mississippi State team earlier in the week. Arkansas is no easy place to play though, and a loss would prevent Missouri from being officially safe, IMO.
South Carolina at Alabama -- Bama is in deep ****. Their RPI is 61st, but their only chance for any remote RPI boosters are both on the road at Florida and Ole Miss. Baring some major road upsets, the Tide don't stand a chance.
Duke at Maryland -- This is Maryland's last stand. Virginia's win at College Park devastated their chances. Only a major upset over Duke can give them any hope, as they now sit just 5-6 in the ACC with an RPI of 70th.
Baylor at Kansas State -- Baylor needs quality wins, and badly. RPI 49th. Here's a chance.
St. Mary's at Loyola Marymount -- Somehow, despite no good wins and some sketchy losses, St. Mary's is in the picture. One more bad loss and they're done.
Georgia at Ole Miss -- Ole Miss RPI remains in the mid 40s, they can't afford any unexpected weak home losses or they'll be in jeopardy. For now they're definitely safe.
San Diego State at UNLV -- UNLV desperately needs to avoid going under .500 in the MWC. This is a chance for a home win that would nearly bring them to safety.
really need Baylor to win. dammit.
CVilleBuff
Well-Known Member
Baylor sits 16-8, 7-4 with an RPI of 49. Remaining games are at KSU, ISU, at OU, at WVU, KSU, at Texas, KU. Need them to go 5-2 to be safe, IMO, but 4-3 is probably their most likely outcome given how they've played this year. The good news is they have ample opportunity for big home wins down the stretch, and that OU is likely going to be fading due to injury.
21-9, 12-6 and they're definitely in
20-10, 11-7, and it's risky but I still think this soft bubble lets them squeak in with that.
Definitely want Baylor to hold on to that top 50 RPI ranking. That's crucial for us. Also, keep an eye on Air Force with that RPI of 62nd. If they were to knock off CSU in the Springs tomorrow, we might be having a very unexpected additional top 50 win in our pocket on Selection Sunday.
Right now, things are going great for us in terms of opponent RPI. USC is safely within the top 100. The only major disappointment is that Dayton is not the top 100 win we had counted on, but even they still have time to change that, but it certainly seems like they're collapsing and it's unlikely.
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Charlotte at St. Louis is also a huge bubble game for both teams. Charlotte's RPI is 47 and St. Louis' is 55 and right now St. Louis is one of the last teams in while Charlotte isn't even one of the last 4 out or next 4 out. This game means more to the Niners because it's one of their last chances for a good win while St. Louis still has games against Butler, La Salle, and VCU to improve their resume.
No great games on the slate today but as CVille noted there's alot of crucial games for bubble teams.
No great games on the slate today but as CVille noted there's alot of crucial games for bubble teams.
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UVA shooting very well so far but they've been sloppy with the basketball. UVA sure is active on defense.
How the hell was that block on Jesperson? Cockadoo ran right over him.
UVA went cold there in the last few minutes of the half and UNC couldn't miss from 3 down the stretch. Nice running 3-pointer by Evans to tie it up at halftime.
I was looking through a lot of the bracket predictions.
Not only is the bubble extremely soft. We've talked about that a lot.
But below the 3 line, the seeding is very soft this year. There is a ton of opportunity for a team currently looked at as a mid- or low-seed to go on a run and grab a 4-seed.
Not only is the bubble extremely soft. We've talked about that a lot.
But below the 3 line, the seeding is very soft this year. There is a ton of opportunity for a team currently looked at as a mid- or low-seed to go on a run and grab a 4-seed.
#21 Notre Dame got crushed at Providence, 54-71. Irish will Dance, but they are destined for a 7/10, 8/9 game or lower imho.
North Carolina finished off Virginia in Chapel Hill, 93-81. Needed win for UNC. Certainly not a bad loss for UVA, but their ugly RPI reminds me of CU in 2010-11 and couldn't recover despite the strong finish. I'm penciling in the Cavs to play Furd in the NIT Championship right now.
Villanova won at UConn. I just don't think we can count out Nova just yet.
#25 Kentucky is down by 24 at the half @ Tennessee (very mediocre team fighting for NIT life). UK is on the bubble and people wanted to see how they played without Noel. Not looking good.
Dayton finally did something for us this year. Handled Xavier in their rivalry game at home, 70-59. Xavier is in bubble hell due to their RPI of around 90.
North Carolina finished off Virginia in Chapel Hill, 93-81. Needed win for UNC. Certainly not a bad loss for UVA, but their ugly RPI reminds me of CU in 2010-11 and couldn't recover despite the strong finish. I'm penciling in the Cavs to play Furd in the NIT Championship right now.
Villanova won at UConn. I just don't think we can count out Nova just yet.
#25 Kentucky is down by 24 at the half @ Tennessee (very mediocre team fighting for NIT life). UK is on the bubble and people wanted to see how they played without Noel. Not looking good.
Dayton finally did something for us this year. Handled Xavier in their rivalry game at home, 70-59. Xavier is in bubble hell due to their RPI of around 90.
CVilleBuff
Well-Known Member
Loss certainly isn't devastating for Virginia, but hurts. 8-4 in the ACC now, have to find a way to 12-6. 11-7 might give them a prayer if they do ACC Tournament damage. They get Duke at home on Feb. 28th, golden opportunity for them.
Kentucky playing their way right into the NIT.
Kentucky playing their way right into the NIT.
La Salle just took care of business against St. Joe's. La Salle is tourney worthy and should be pretty safe now. St. Joe's shouldn't even be in the conversation at 14-10 (5-6), but you never know with a soft bubble and the boobs on the selection committee.
NCSU struggling at home against Va Tech. This would be a bad loss for State.
CVilleBuff
Well-Known Member
Don't think UK recovers from this. It's not officially over for them, but they're not Big Dance worthy and it's painfully obvious. Injuries suck
CVilleBuff
Well-Known Member
NCSU is not playing good basketball. One more bad loss and they'll need to be very careful
CVilleBuff
Well-Known Member
OT in Stillwater, Sooners trying to officially lock their bid
CVilleBuff
Well-Known Member
OT in Raleigh, NC State is really in a funk even if they pull this out
Looked like a violation by VT but regardless it was nicely executed. Plus NCSU didn't block out.
CVilleBuff
Well-Known Member
OK State holds off OU in OT in Stillwater, OU still in decent shape though
CVilleBuff
Well-Known Member
NC State pulls it out, but that stock is plummeting