Next week at Boise will be tough
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2024 CFB Predictions/Gambling Thread
- Thread starter Buffnik
- Start date
Next week at Boise will be tough
FLounda
Think Positive and life will be Positive.
Lost big on this
But made out like a bandit live betting the buffs down 14 and a Welch prop.
Colorado in the 3rdQ is my biggest tip. RobLiv is a maniac at halftime
Attachments
byu looked pretty good last night. It'll be a good game
Costa Rica Buff
Well-Known Member
BYU doesn't have Travis Hunter
FLounda
Think Positive and life will be Positive.
Baylor had a devastating loss and BYU had an everything bounce right game.
One team is going to be on cloud 9 and one team is going to be pissed.
Nobody living in either Waco or Provo should ever be on ‘cloud 9’.
I know which one I’d prefer
Funny. I was thinking the same thing about Georgia.
My long shot moneyline parlay of the week:
CU
BYU
Arkansas
+3100
CU
BYU
Arkansas
+3100
Fans are demoralized. I could see their team going one way or the other.
You’re welcome.
I took em last night!
Miami -13.5 with Under 63.5.
Robert Sorell
Well-Known Member
Buffs ML was +440 last night, now at +380
Late money coming in on Buffs
Late money coming in on Buffs
Yea I got CU at +14.5 just a couple hours ago and now it's +13.5
Dammit is Ole Miss gonna screw me over
Said everyone, always
Robert Sorell
Well-Known Member
If the season ended today, I think you give it to Travis.
However, I think those odds are about right.
9 times out of ten it's been the, "Best QB on a top 10 team," award.
I'm trying to think what helps Travis.
Ward, Dart, or Milroe puts up monster numbers but misses the CFP?
Passerby
South Dakota's bitch
KSU @ UCO
Colorado 24 Kansas State 27
Co +3. KSU -3
O/U 51.5
our system has the Buffs a 3 pt dog. The primary difference is defense. The Buffaloes are allowing almost 100 yds/game more. On offense the Buffaloes are out gained by almost 50. These differences are significant and material.
Secondly the Kansas State defense is far stinger on points allowed. Even though they score fewer points their points allowed is only 71.
No home field. It’s baked into the statistics
Advantage is to Colorado when it comes to the virtual field. Their offense plays on a short 92 yard field. Kansas State is playing on the regulation 100 yards
Defense is pretty close. The Buffaloes are forcing opponents offense to play on a 115 yard field. Kansas State 117.
Why we follow the Buffaloes:
An option trader would say they have a high IV (implied volatility). This leads to better odds. The team is exciting and anything can happen. Lots of action lots of money
Their delta is the leverage we saw last week: Great on-the-money odds
The gamma: the relatively cheap cost of points
The O/U is the tough one. I call it Vega or Rho.
We are currently trying to determine if the game is betable. We won’t know for sre until next week.
Colorado 24 Kansas State 27
Co +3. KSU -3
O/U 51.5
our system has the Buffs a 3 pt dog. The primary difference is defense. The Buffaloes are allowing almost 100 yds/game more. On offense the Buffaloes are out gained by almost 50. These differences are significant and material.
Secondly the Kansas State defense is far stinger on points allowed. Even though they score fewer points their points allowed is only 71.
No home field. It’s baked into the statistics
Advantage is to Colorado when it comes to the virtual field. Their offense plays on a short 92 yard field. Kansas State is playing on the regulation 100 yards
Defense is pretty close. The Buffaloes are forcing opponents offense to play on a 115 yard field. Kansas State 117.
Why we follow the Buffaloes:
An option trader would say they have a high IV (implied volatility). This leads to better odds. The team is exciting and anything can happen. Lots of action lots of money
Their delta is the leverage we saw last week: Great on-the-money odds
The gamma: the relatively cheap cost of points
The O/U is the tough one. I call it Vega or Rho.
We are currently trying to determine if the game is betable. We won’t know for sre until next week.
Robert Sorell
Well-Known Member
I'm a UCO fan
