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2024 CFB Predictions/Gambling Thread
- Thread starter Buffnik
- Start date
I can't speak for DK but hey have alternate spreads on FD too
I ended up taking a small teaser on Arky +16.5 and SDSU +12.5, so let's hope for a small Okie Lite victory
I never touch the games with huge spreads of 35+. I mean, we know with 99.X% confidence who will win outright, but so much on the margin seems to be about motivation levels and how long the starters play. Do any of you bet these with good success?
I feel the same way on these games with big lines. It's not at all unusual for a big favorite to get out at halftime something like 35-0 but then just coast to a 42-10 win
I go heavy on teams with HC that are OC wizards like Olemiss and Tennessee.
They have the talent to win big and usually want to lay the points for vanity.
Agree to disagree
North or South Carolina?
I took Indiana -3 at UCLA. Odd to feel good about Indiana, but probably more so having no confidence in UCLA.
Also went for a teaser with Oregon State +22 and Wazzu +10.5. Think Wazzu could win outright so might sprinkle a ML bet for them.
Tempted by a UNLV and Zona teaser too to make Friday interesting
Nothing tonight but plan on making a few bets for tomorrow
**** Bailey!
Did you really cash both of those out?
As a person who gambles many dollars, please accept my advice: don’t cashout a parlay ever. If you want to eliminate or reduce risk for a last leg, arbitrage the other side in a separate bet. It’ll make you a ton in extra EV. The cashout option is always far worse value for the bettor than betting the other way (on a different site to avoid getting banned for arbing).
Noted thanks, that's all new to me
On average, the cashout is 30-40% less money than betting the other way on a final leg. The best option is to let it ride and punish the book.