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Bubble Watch - Saturday 3/12

Digger Phelps and one other guy on espn say we are in with the win today.
And they referenced the CU kst game in the 2003 big 12 tourney while talking about the rutgers st. johns controversy today
 
CarolinaBuff said:
Hubert Davis and Digger were just on and they both seem to think we're already in.
Click to expand...

I was somewhat surprised to hear that from them, but Digger knows his stuff so that's a good sign. This could quickly change if a team like Cal or Mississippi State came out of nowhere and won their conferences.
 
I just looked at Lunardi's bracketology and while I realize this is his best guess, he currently has us slotted for Denver. While that would be great, I can't imagine the committee would put us that close to home. But we're still slotted to play in Dayton against UGA so we'd have to earn our way to Denver.
 
CarolinaBuff said:
I just looked at Lunardi's bracketology and while I realize this is his best guess, he currently has us slotted for Denver. While that would be great, I can't imagine the committee would put us that close to home. But we're still slotted to play in Dayton against UGA so we'd have to earn our way to Denver.
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Committee likes to put teams close to home regardless of seed....upsets are what make the NCAA tournament the best around and if they played their way into a #12 seed, Denver would be a fairly likely home
 
Rraalph 3000 said:
Committee likes to put teams close to home regardless of seed....upsets are what make the NCAA tournament the best around and if they played their way into a #12 seed, Denver would be a fairly likely home
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I have kind of noticed that they will sometimes put a lower or even double-digit seed close to home (AF played in Denver as an 11-seed in 2004 or whenever it was), but that's a direct contradiction of what this goofy "pod system" is intended to do, which is to allow as many of the top 4 seeds as possible to play relatively close to home so their fans can more easily attend the first 2 rounds.
 
disagree. the stated purpose of the pod system is for top seeds to play close to home. i think the pod system is ****e and has always been bogusly justified by the NCAA (never just flat out saying it's about ticket sales and revenue), but i don't see a #12 playing a #5 seed at a venue that close to Boulder. it makes a mockery of a team that basically played its azz off all year to earn a #5 seed.

be great to be wrong, though.

edit: was responding to RRRalph. maybe the exceptions are smaller conference winners? but a team with as many "quality victories" as CU playing in Denver, that seems like a stacked deck.
 
Actually, I just took a quick look and I don't see anything about trying to keep the higher seeds closer to home, so maybe that was just the rumor we always hear from the analysts:

Before the 2002 tournament, all teams playing at a first- or second-round site fed into the same regional tournament. Since 2002, the tournament has used the "pod system" designed to limit the early-round travel of as many teams as possible. In the pod system, each regional bracket is divided into four-team pods.
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http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/NCAA_Men%27s_Division_I_Basketball_Championship

But I agree with you Mick, I'd be pissed if I was a top 4-5 seed and had to play a double-digit seed who was playing within an hour of their campus. And that's not how it should be.
 
Buffnik said:
39-22 halftime
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um, unless i'm missing something, isn't baylor already a ways behind us for those last few spots? how important is it really that baylor loses? or is this all just thrown into the "couldn't hurt" file? at least according to lunardi, there's 5 teams in between baylor and us right now...
 
NBDefektor said:
um, unless i'm missing something, isn't baylor already a ways behind us for those last few spots? how important is it really that baylor loses? or is this all just thrown into the "couldn't hurt" file? at least according to lunardi, there's 5 teams in between baylor and us right now...
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Given that we lost to Baylor, then yeah couldn't hurt.
 
NBDefektor said:
um, unless i'm missing something, isn't baylor already a ways behind us for those last few spots? how important is it really that baylor loses? or is this all just thrown into the "couldn't hurt" file? at least according to lunardi, there's 5 teams in between baylor and us right now...
Click to expand...

It's more for what could happen to Baylor if they win tonight. Let's say they win tonight and then won tomorrow and maybe even reached the finals, then they would be in direct contention with us for one of those at-large spots.
 
I also don't 100% trust Lunardi. Going into today, if you put the Baylor-Colorado-Nebraska resumes next to each other it would be hard to distinguish them. Baylor was an Elite 8 team last year. They are definitely a team CU needed to be worried about.

Resumes prior to today's games
Baylor: Record= 18-11; RPI= 84; Big 12 record= 7-9; Strength of Schedule= 39; Non-Conference SOS= 187; Record vs CU= 1-0; Record vs NU= 1-0

Colorado: Record= 19-12; RPI= 76; Big 12 record= 8-8; Strength of Schedule= 73; Non-Conference SOS= 320; Record vs BU= 0-1; Record vs NU= 1-1

Nebraska: Record= 19-11; RPI= 78; Big 12 record= 7-9; Strength of Schedule= 66; Non-Conference SOS= 289; Record vs BU= 0-1; Record vs CU= 1-1

I believe that "record vs RPI top 50" is where CU distinguishes itself. We're something like 5-6 while both of them are more like 2-7 or something. Still, this was too close to call as CU definitely being in over those two teams.
 
Yeah Nik they did the blind resume during the OU v Baylor game and CU had the most impressive credentials out of them all, with the most being the 5-6 record.
 
big games tomorrow. Michigan, Michigan State, and Virginia Tech all need to lose, while we win.
 
Lunardi doesn't pick the tournament. he predicts the field. this was a soft science developed by a bunch of people who don't get paid nearly as much as Lunardi. Lunardi got hired so ESPN could keep pace with guys like Jerry Palm, Pomeroy, Warren Nolan. they were all doing what Lunardi does before Lunardi. Lunardi is, by now, the most visible....but in the last decade "the Committee" has been very hostile to making public that there is *any* kind of formula as if to preserve some mystique. while it would not surprise me *at all* that maybe Joe, being the official mouthpiece of ESPN, gets some skinny from the Committee to prop his own position and glorify the Absolute Sports Truth according to ESPN.....there will be curve balls.

i won't be happy or satisfied until i see CU's name on the actual bracket.
 
NoCo is looking pretty good. Down 20-19 at 6:36.

Oregon up 5 on Stanford in the 1st half (RPI boost if they go on to win).

Marquette up 11-8 on West Virginia at the 15 minute mark. Go Mountaineers!
 
In celebration of the dismantling of Baylor today:

[video=youtube;-iYY2FQHFwE]http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-iYY2FQHFwE[/video]
 
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