CVilleBuff
Well-Known Member
LSU falls to the Aggies. LSU is clearly not a Big Dance caliber team.
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Official 2014 Bubble Watch Thread
- Thread starter Buffnik
- Start date
CVilleBuff
Well-Known Member
Love seeing Illinois suck.
CVilleBuff
Well-Known Member
Thursday:
Our Buffs 18-6 (7-4) @ UCLA 18-5 (7-3): We're still sitting nicely with an RPI of 25. By any common sense account, we're in right now. Bracket Matrix has us a 9. However, the ESPN crowd is starting to knock us a bit for "only" beating Kansas (have they checked the resumes of other bubble teams?). Obviously a win here would be huge and really give us some breathing room. We've got 7 games and need to win 3 or 4. We're coming off our most impressive showing in quite some time. Let's take this confidence on the road. UCLA isn't above puzzling performances. A loss is hardly devastating on its own, but we have got to come out hungry. Road win at RPI 17 would be HUGE.
Missouri 16-7 (4-6) vs Arkansas 15-8 (4-6): Mizzou sits right at 50 in the RPI. They've lost 3 straight. Simply put, a losing SEC record isn't going to cut it. They've got a VERY favorable remaining 8 games. If they don't reel off wins left and right then they'll be taking bad losses. Arkansas has an RPI of 80 and isn't in the picture right now.
Minnesota 16-8 (5-6) @ #21 Wisconsin 19-5 (6-5): Minnesota stopped the bleeding with a win over Indiana. RPI is 41 and they're still "in" for now. RPI 41. It would appear we're headed for another year of whether Minnesota's solid SOS is enough to get them in despite some clear struggles in conference play. The answer is probably yes, but they need some wins and are looking really shaky as of late.
St. John's 15-9 (5-6) @ Seton Hall 13-11 (4-7): St. John's is a remarkable story, having started conference play 0-5 and now having won 6/7. However, RPI is still 61. As good of a story as it would make if they Danced, they've still got some work to do to make it a reality. Seton Hall (135) is a loss they cannot afford.
BYU 17-9 @ Pacific 13-10 (4-8): BYU is right on the line, probably just in. They played a tough OOC and have nice wins like Texas on a neutral floor and @ Stanford, but they've got a couple boneheaded losses. Can't take another bad loss here at Pacific. RPI 44.
St. Mary's 18-7 (8-4) vs San Diego 13-13 (4-9): St. Mary's RPI sits at 53. However, it's a sign of the bubble that they're even in the discussion (albeit on the wrong side of things). They refused to challenge themselves OOC, and as such Boise State and Louisiana Tech are their bragging point wins. They get both Gonzaga and BYU at home down the stretch, and unless they win both (and all 6 remaining games) they've really got no case. I have no sympathy for a WCC team that is too stupid to challenge themselves OOC. Gonzaga and BYU get it, St. Mary's doesn't.
Our Buffs 18-6 (7-4) @ UCLA 18-5 (7-3): We're still sitting nicely with an RPI of 25. By any common sense account, we're in right now. Bracket Matrix has us a 9. However, the ESPN crowd is starting to knock us a bit for "only" beating Kansas (have they checked the resumes of other bubble teams?). Obviously a win here would be huge and really give us some breathing room. We've got 7 games and need to win 3 or 4. We're coming off our most impressive showing in quite some time. Let's take this confidence on the road. UCLA isn't above puzzling performances. A loss is hardly devastating on its own, but we have got to come out hungry. Road win at RPI 17 would be HUGE.
Missouri 16-7 (4-6) vs Arkansas 15-8 (4-6): Mizzou sits right at 50 in the RPI. They've lost 3 straight. Simply put, a losing SEC record isn't going to cut it. They've got a VERY favorable remaining 8 games. If they don't reel off wins left and right then they'll be taking bad losses. Arkansas has an RPI of 80 and isn't in the picture right now.
Minnesota 16-8 (5-6) @ #21 Wisconsin 19-5 (6-5): Minnesota stopped the bleeding with a win over Indiana. RPI is 41 and they're still "in" for now. RPI 41. It would appear we're headed for another year of whether Minnesota's solid SOS is enough to get them in despite some clear struggles in conference play. The answer is probably yes, but they need some wins and are looking really shaky as of late.
St. John's 15-9 (5-6) @ Seton Hall 13-11 (4-7): St. John's is a remarkable story, having started conference play 0-5 and now having won 6/7. However, RPI is still 61. As good of a story as it would make if they Danced, they've still got some work to do to make it a reality. Seton Hall (135) is a loss they cannot afford.
BYU 17-9 @ Pacific 13-10 (4-8): BYU is right on the line, probably just in. They played a tough OOC and have nice wins like Texas on a neutral floor and @ Stanford, but they've got a couple boneheaded losses. Can't take another bad loss here at Pacific. RPI 44.
St. Mary's 18-7 (8-4) vs San Diego 13-13 (4-9): St. Mary's RPI sits at 53. However, it's a sign of the bubble that they're even in the discussion (albeit on the wrong side of things). They refused to challenge themselves OOC, and as such Boise State and Louisiana Tech are their bragging point wins. They get both Gonzaga and BYU at home down the stretch, and unless they win both (and all 6 remaining games) they've really got no case. I have no sympathy for a WCC team that is too stupid to challenge themselves OOC. Gonzaga and BYU get it, St. Mary's doesn't.
Lunardi want with the Pac-12 on the 10 line bracket today, with CU, Cal, Furd and ASU the 10-seeds for the Dance.
I'm not sure how UCLA is a 6 and CU is a 10. I guess we'll find out tonight.
fwiw, though, I'd feel damn good about CU's shot at making a run if we got the draw Lunardi proposes.
http://espn.go.com/mens-college-basketball/bracketology
I'm not sure how UCLA is a 6 and CU is a 10. I guess we'll find out tonight.
fwiw, though, I'd feel damn good about CU's shot at making a run if we got the draw Lunardi proposes.
http://espn.go.com/mens-college-basketball/bracketology
Missouri and St. John's got their wins.
Minnesota lost at Wisconsin.
C-USA took some hits at the top with UTEP dropping a home game to FAU, dropping UTEP out of the Top 100, and Southern Miss falling at UAB to drop to RPI 40. Looks like a 1-bid league with the Dance invite going to its tourney champion. LA Tech is at 72 and Mid TN State at 81. Weak C-USA this season.
Minnesota lost at Wisconsin.
C-USA took some hits at the top with UTEP dropping a home game to FAU, dropping UTEP out of the Top 100, and Southern Miss falling at UAB to drop to RPI 40. Looks like a 1-bid league with the Dance invite going to its tourney champion. LA Tech is at 72 and Mid TN State at 81. Weak C-USA this season.
CVilleBuff
Well-Known Member
Mizzou has an extremely favorable remaining slate, they can't do a whole lot to drastically improve their stock, but they can sure **** it up.
St. John's is an incredible turnaround. I wonder if they can keep it going or run out of steam.
No shame in this particular Minnesota loss, but the losses are piling up
So Miss losing is certainly good news.
St. Mary's is going to win at home against San Diego. Not sure that's going to do much to change their #51 RPI.
BYU is about to lose at Pacific. That's going to put a hurt on their #45 RPI.
I could accept the WCC as a 2-bid league if BYU was the team to play well enough to earn it. They actually played a challenging non-conference schedule. But SMC went cupcake city in the non-con. I'd hate to see them sneak in.
BYU is about to lose at Pacific. That's going to put a hurt on their #45 RPI.
I could accept the WCC as a 2-bid league if BYU was the team to play well enough to earn it. They actually played a challenging non-conference schedule. But SMC went cupcake city in the non-con. I'd hate to see them sneak in.
CVilleBuff
Well-Known Member
Bad loss for BYU. Another sub 100 loss. As you say, if WCC has to get 2 bids then let it be BYU. SMC deserves no sympathy given what they scheduled OOC.
CVilleBuff
Well-Known Member
Friday:
#23 SMU 19-5 (8-3) @ Rutgers 10-14 (4-7): SMU is in good shape and certainly on the right side of things for now after beating Cincinnati. RPI is 39 and Bracket Matrix has them a 9 seed. They'd have to really collapse. That said, a loss to 195 Rutgers would certainly do damage.
Arizona State 18-6 (7-4) vs #2 Arizona 23-1 (10-1): ASU is on the right side of things for now, probably a 10 seed at the moment. RPI is 38. They've avoided bad losses thus far except for Miami (105). However, their two big wins are CU and Cal and their OOC was quite weak. If they beat Zona it's hard to leave them out, but that OOC could easily come back to bite them if they don't find more quality wins down the stretch. We certainly want Zona to beat them to knock them even with us on 5 losses.
#23 SMU 19-5 (8-3) @ Rutgers 10-14 (4-7): SMU is in good shape and certainly on the right side of things for now after beating Cincinnati. RPI is 39 and Bracket Matrix has them a 9 seed. They'd have to really collapse. That said, a loss to 195 Rutgers would certainly do damage.
Arizona State 18-6 (7-4) vs #2 Arizona 23-1 (10-1): ASU is on the right side of things for now, probably a 10 seed at the moment. RPI is 38. They've avoided bad losses thus far except for Miami (105). However, their two big wins are CU and Cal and their OOC was quite weak. If they beat Zona it's hard to leave them out, but that OOC could easily come back to bite them if they don't find more quality wins down the stretch. We certainly want Zona to beat them to knock them even with us on 5 losses.
CVilleBuff
Well-Known Member
Saturday:
Clemson 15-8 (6-5) vs #17 Virginia 20-5 (11-1): Clemson took a sub 100 loss to Notre Dame which really hurt. RPI is 72. They've beaten Duke but there's not much else. This is a huge game. Clemson needs another big win and here's their chance against a UVA squad that has been playing incredibly good basketball. Clemson knows they need this one, expect a physical dog fight.
St. Joseph's 16-7 (6-3) @ LaSalle 12-11 (4-5): St. Joe's is the last team in right now on Bracket Matrix. RPI is 45 and they've been picking up nice wins such as UMass and VCU recently. Their remaining schedule is pretty favorable. They'll need to finish pretty strong and avoid bad losses, that loss to Temple looks absolutely horrendous and holds them back from what would otherwise be a solid resume.
Indiana State 19-6 (10-3) vs Southern Illinois 10-16 (6-7): The Sycamores have whiffed on both tries against Wichita State and gained no good OOC wins. RPI is 53 but there's really nothing they can do to impress the committee. They're not getting an at-large.
Oklahoma State 16-8 (4-7) vs Oklahoma 18-7 (7-5): Here's where Okie Lite either makes their stand, or their remarkable collapse continues. They've lost 5 straight and their RPI is down to 38. They're still "in" for now, but the losing skid has to stop. If they can't get up for Bedlam at home, there's no telling how bad this could get.
Providence 16-9 (6-6) vs DePaul 10-15 (2-10): Providence has lost 3 straight (all against fellow conference bubble teams). RPI is down to 56. They're still very much in the picture, but DePaul is one of those games you simply can't lose.
NC State 16-8 (6-5) @ #1 Syracuse 24-0 (11-0): NCSU remains alive, albeit on the fringe. They won at Tennessee and have beaten the middling ACC schools, but no "great" wins and an inexcusable loss to NC Central. Still, RPI is 55 and they've got a winning ACC record. They're one big win away from being a legitimate contender...
Cal 16-8 (7-4) @ Washington 14-11 (6-6): Cal crucially avoided the bad loss at Wazzu. They're "in" for now (likely a 10 seed). Loss at Washington wouldn't be devastating, but a win would certainly help providing some breathing space with UCLA, Arizona, Arizona State and Colorado still remaining on the schedule. RPI is still just 50.
Xavier 17-7 (7-4) @ Marquette 14-10 (6-5): Xavier is on the right side of things. RPI is 37. They've taken a couple bad losses, but they've offset that with wins over Cincinnati and a host of other pretty good wins.
Tennessee 15-9 (6-5) @ Missouri 17-7 (5-6): These two are the SEC's best hope for a 3rd (and maybe 4th) bid: Mizzou RPI sits at 44, Tennessee at 51. They've both whiffed in their chances for big conference wins against UK and UF. Both teams need this one badly. Perhaps Mizzou slightly more so since they cannot afford another home loss and they've got to erase their current losing SEC record. These teams will actually see each other again in Knoxville in the last game of the regular season.
Ole Miss 16-8 (7-4) @ Georgia 13-10 (7-4): Ole Miss just lost at Alabama which is likely the end. A home win over Mizzou is all they've got going. However, after this game they get Kentucky and Florida back to back in Oxford. I'll keep them here in case they pull off some home magic. RPI is down to 62.
Richmond 16-8 (6-3) vs Fordham 9-14 (2-8): Spiders are currently the first team out on Bracket Matrix. RPI 42. They lost their top scorer for the season recently but have so far done okay, winning their past 2. Home loss to Fordham isn't an option. Win this and then comes a big one against George Washington. Favorable remaining schedule for the Spiders.
Stanford 15-8 (6-5) @ Washington State 9-15 (2-10): Stanford is currently "in", likely 10 or 11 seed. Loss at Washington wasn't the end of the world. A loss at Washington State would be. RPI is 46. This is exactly the type of game Dawkins is known to lose.
Baylor 15-9 (3-8) vs Kansas State 17-7 (7-4): Baylor stopped the bleeding by killing god awful TCU. RPI is 59 and there's some serious work to do. Defending home court is a must. Baylor has to get this win.
West Virginia 15-10 (7-5) @ #19 Texas 19-5 (8-3): West Virginia has been playing good ball for weeks and really announced it with an absolute demolition of #11 Iowa State. They're pushing ever closer to a Dance ticket, but the RPI is still just 66. There's still work to be done.
Florida State 14-10 (5-7) @ Wake Forest 14-10 (4-7): FSU has fallen apart, going from comfortably in to outside of the field having lost 5/6, called off by a bad home loss to Miami. RPI has slipped all the way to 65. They've got to find a way to get this win in Winston-Salem. If they drop this one, it's probably the end of things with Syracuse, North Carolina and @ Pitt still remaining.
BYU 17-10 (9-5) @ St. Mary's 19-7 (9-4): BYU really hurt themselves with a loss to Pacific. BYU has some nice OOC wins but they've done some stupid **** in conference play. St. Mary's, meanwhile, was completely gutless refusing to play a tough OOC. They frankly have no business being in the picture at all. BYU has the far better chance to get in between these two. A St. Mary's win would probably just end up meaning neither of these two get an at-large, while a BYU win keeps their at-large hopes alive. BYU RPI sits at 48, St. Mary's at 52.
Clemson 15-8 (6-5) vs #17 Virginia 20-5 (11-1): Clemson took a sub 100 loss to Notre Dame which really hurt. RPI is 72. They've beaten Duke but there's not much else. This is a huge game. Clemson needs another big win and here's their chance against a UVA squad that has been playing incredibly good basketball. Clemson knows they need this one, expect a physical dog fight.
St. Joseph's 16-7 (6-3) @ LaSalle 12-11 (4-5): St. Joe's is the last team in right now on Bracket Matrix. RPI is 45 and they've been picking up nice wins such as UMass and VCU recently. Their remaining schedule is pretty favorable. They'll need to finish pretty strong and avoid bad losses, that loss to Temple looks absolutely horrendous and holds them back from what would otherwise be a solid resume.
Indiana State 19-6 (10-3) vs Southern Illinois 10-16 (6-7): The Sycamores have whiffed on both tries against Wichita State and gained no good OOC wins. RPI is 53 but there's really nothing they can do to impress the committee. They're not getting an at-large.
Oklahoma State 16-8 (4-7) vs Oklahoma 18-7 (7-5): Here's where Okie Lite either makes their stand, or their remarkable collapse continues. They've lost 5 straight and their RPI is down to 38. They're still "in" for now, but the losing skid has to stop. If they can't get up for Bedlam at home, there's no telling how bad this could get.
Providence 16-9 (6-6) vs DePaul 10-15 (2-10): Providence has lost 3 straight (all against fellow conference bubble teams). RPI is down to 56. They're still very much in the picture, but DePaul is one of those games you simply can't lose.
NC State 16-8 (6-5) @ #1 Syracuse 24-0 (11-0): NCSU remains alive, albeit on the fringe. They won at Tennessee and have beaten the middling ACC schools, but no "great" wins and an inexcusable loss to NC Central. Still, RPI is 55 and they've got a winning ACC record. They're one big win away from being a legitimate contender...
Cal 16-8 (7-4) @ Washington 14-11 (6-6): Cal crucially avoided the bad loss at Wazzu. They're "in" for now (likely a 10 seed). Loss at Washington wouldn't be devastating, but a win would certainly help providing some breathing space with UCLA, Arizona, Arizona State and Colorado still remaining on the schedule. RPI is still just 50.
Xavier 17-7 (7-4) @ Marquette 14-10 (6-5): Xavier is on the right side of things. RPI is 37. They've taken a couple bad losses, but they've offset that with wins over Cincinnati and a host of other pretty good wins.
Tennessee 15-9 (6-5) @ Missouri 17-7 (5-6): These two are the SEC's best hope for a 3rd (and maybe 4th) bid: Mizzou RPI sits at 44, Tennessee at 51. They've both whiffed in their chances for big conference wins against UK and UF. Both teams need this one badly. Perhaps Mizzou slightly more so since they cannot afford another home loss and they've got to erase their current losing SEC record. These teams will actually see each other again in Knoxville in the last game of the regular season.
Ole Miss 16-8 (7-4) @ Georgia 13-10 (7-4): Ole Miss just lost at Alabama which is likely the end. A home win over Mizzou is all they've got going. However, after this game they get Kentucky and Florida back to back in Oxford. I'll keep them here in case they pull off some home magic. RPI is down to 62.
Richmond 16-8 (6-3) vs Fordham 9-14 (2-8): Spiders are currently the first team out on Bracket Matrix. RPI 42. They lost their top scorer for the season recently but have so far done okay, winning their past 2. Home loss to Fordham isn't an option. Win this and then comes a big one against George Washington. Favorable remaining schedule for the Spiders.
Stanford 15-8 (6-5) @ Washington State 9-15 (2-10): Stanford is currently "in", likely 10 or 11 seed. Loss at Washington wasn't the end of the world. A loss at Washington State would be. RPI is 46. This is exactly the type of game Dawkins is known to lose.
Baylor 15-9 (3-8) vs Kansas State 17-7 (7-4): Baylor stopped the bleeding by killing god awful TCU. RPI is 59 and there's some serious work to do. Defending home court is a must. Baylor has to get this win.
West Virginia 15-10 (7-5) @ #19 Texas 19-5 (8-3): West Virginia has been playing good ball for weeks and really announced it with an absolute demolition of #11 Iowa State. They're pushing ever closer to a Dance ticket, but the RPI is still just 66. There's still work to be done.
Florida State 14-10 (5-7) @ Wake Forest 14-10 (4-7): FSU has fallen apart, going from comfortably in to outside of the field having lost 5/6, called off by a bad home loss to Miami. RPI has slipped all the way to 65. They've got to find a way to get this win in Winston-Salem. If they drop this one, it's probably the end of things with Syracuse, North Carolina and @ Pitt still remaining.
BYU 17-10 (9-5) @ St. Mary's 19-7 (9-4): BYU really hurt themselves with a loss to Pacific. BYU has some nice OOC wins but they've done some stupid **** in conference play. St. Mary's, meanwhile, was completely gutless refusing to play a tough OOC. They frankly have no business being in the picture at all. BYU has the far better chance to get in between these two. A St. Mary's win would probably just end up meaning neither of these two get an at-large, while a BYU win keeps their at-large hopes alive. BYU RPI sits at 48, St. Mary's at 52.
NC State at Syracuse has been moved to 7pm EST due to travel delays for the Wolfpack
I was looking at Pitt's schedule and they have a serious lack of quality wins. If they were to go 2-3 down the stretch and lose their first game in the ACC Tournament they could be in a dicey situation come selection Sunday. Or will their lack of any bad losses save them in the end?
They'd have to lose at Boston College or Notre Dame and end up in the high 40s. Possible. Unlikely, but possible.
But I'd like to turn attention to Marquette.
As you all know, I'm a long-time Buzz Williams fan. Marquette is the most talented team in the Big East and everyone picked them to win the conference in the preseason. Poor record in the non-conference. Up and down conference performance.
However, with the win over Xavier today and the talent to run the table and/or buzz through the Big East tourney, Marquette is one hell of a dangerous RPI 75 to end up making the Dance.
CVilleBuff
Well-Known Member
Sunday:
Our Buffs 18-7 (7-5) are on the road at USC 10-14 (1-10): We're still on the right side of things. Bracket Matrix has us as a 9 but it's probably more like a 10. Loss at UCLA was a missed opportunity but certainly not a killer by any means. Our RPI is a healthy 28, while USC's sits 144. One strong point of our resume is the lack of any sub-100 losses. It's also no secret that the committee is going to want us to show some life post-Dinwiddie. NCAA Tournament teams take care of business in road games like this. I don't care how we do it, this has simply got to be a win or things are going to get dicey.
Oregon 15-8 (3-8) vs Oregon State 13-10 (5-6): Ducks are coming off a heartbreaking week in the desert with losses at Zona and ASU by a combined 4 points. Despite the ugly conference record, there still may be light at the end of the tunnel. Oregon's RPI still sits 47 and the remaining schedule is home heavy and favorable. It's not out of the question that Oregon wins 6 of their final 7.
Minnesota 16-9 (5-7) @ Northwestern 12-13 (5-7): Gophers still sit 37 in the RPI despite taking losses left and right recently. They played a tough OOC, although wins such as FSU have lost much of their value. Gophers have got to get these next 2 (NW, Illinois) before a brutal 3 game stretch. If they don't, they run the risk of like a 7-11 conference record.
Georgetown 15-9 (6-6) @ St. John's 16-9 (6-6): This is a HUGE game for both. Each of these teams were left for dead a few weeks ago, Georgetown has won 4 straight and St. John's 7/8. Georgetown RPI sits at 55, St. John's 57. Georgetown is in slightly better shape as they played a very respectable OOC, but man this is going to be a critical win for somebody and a tough loss for someone else. A loss would be more damaging for St. John's, though, as they're at home and have a little more work to be done than Georgetown does.
Our Buffs 18-7 (7-5) are on the road at USC 10-14 (1-10): We're still on the right side of things. Bracket Matrix has us as a 9 but it's probably more like a 10. Loss at UCLA was a missed opportunity but certainly not a killer by any means. Our RPI is a healthy 28, while USC's sits 144. One strong point of our resume is the lack of any sub-100 losses. It's also no secret that the committee is going to want us to show some life post-Dinwiddie. NCAA Tournament teams take care of business in road games like this. I don't care how we do it, this has simply got to be a win or things are going to get dicey.
Oregon 15-8 (3-8) vs Oregon State 13-10 (5-6): Ducks are coming off a heartbreaking week in the desert with losses at Zona and ASU by a combined 4 points. Despite the ugly conference record, there still may be light at the end of the tunnel. Oregon's RPI still sits 47 and the remaining schedule is home heavy and favorable. It's not out of the question that Oregon wins 6 of their final 7.
Minnesota 16-9 (5-7) @ Northwestern 12-13 (5-7): Gophers still sit 37 in the RPI despite taking losses left and right recently. They played a tough OOC, although wins such as FSU have lost much of their value. Gophers have got to get these next 2 (NW, Illinois) before a brutal 3 game stretch. If they don't, they run the risk of like a 7-11 conference record.
Georgetown 15-9 (6-6) @ St. John's 16-9 (6-6): This is a HUGE game for both. Each of these teams were left for dead a few weeks ago, Georgetown has won 4 straight and St. John's 7/8. Georgetown RPI sits at 55, St. John's 57. Georgetown is in slightly better shape as they played a very respectable OOC, but man this is going to be a critical win for somebody and a tough loss for someone else. A loss would be more damaging for St. John's, though, as they're at home and have a little more work to be done than Georgetown does.
CVilleBuff
Well-Known Member
SMU falls at 178 Temple
CVilleBuff
Well-Known Member
Oregon tops Oregon State by 10 in Eugene.
CVilleBuff
Well-Known Member
3 straight wins and a very very manageable remaining schedule. RPI already 52
I guess being .500 in the Big 10 will do that for your RPI :huh:
CVilleBuff
Well-Known Member
Monday:
Florida State 15-10 (6-7) vs North Carolina 17-7 (7-4): Noles stopped the collapse with a win at Wake Forest. They're on the outside, RPI is just 61. They need this win over Carolina. They are just out (Bracket Matrix's 3rd team out) and a win would go a long way to putting them back in the field.
Oklahoma State 16-9 (4-8) @ Baylor 16-9 (4-8): Battle of the collapsing teams. Okie Lite has lost 6 straight while Baylor stopped the bleeding with a much needed win over KSU. OSU RPI is 45, Baylor 50. Bracket Matrix still has Okie Lite in the field, while Baylor is the 4th team out. Both need this win in the worst way, but if I had to choose who needs it more, it's Baylor. A Baylor loss here is the end of the road with road games at WVU and Texas next. Okie Lite hits an easy couple games with Texas Tech and TCU, so they could lose and conceivably live to fight another day with Smart back. That said, the loser here falling to 4-9 in conference play will be in deep, deep ****.
Florida State 15-10 (6-7) vs North Carolina 17-7 (7-4): Noles stopped the collapse with a win at Wake Forest. They're on the outside, RPI is just 61. They need this win over Carolina. They are just out (Bracket Matrix's 3rd team out) and a win would go a long way to putting them back in the field.
Oklahoma State 16-9 (4-8) @ Baylor 16-9 (4-8): Battle of the collapsing teams. Okie Lite has lost 6 straight while Baylor stopped the bleeding with a much needed win over KSU. OSU RPI is 45, Baylor 50. Bracket Matrix still has Okie Lite in the field, while Baylor is the 4th team out. Both need this win in the worst way, but if I had to choose who needs it more, it's Baylor. A Baylor loss here is the end of the road with road games at WVU and Texas next. Okie Lite hits an easy couple games with Texas Tech and TCU, so they could lose and conceivably live to fight another day with Smart back. That said, the loser here falling to 4-9 in conference play will be in deep, deep ****.
CVilleBuff
Well-Known Member
FSU falls at home to North Carolina. Seminoles remain on the wrong side.
That's not the ideal result for CU's RPI rank either. UNC probably jumps us tonight. Buffs control their own destiny with that, though. If they won these last 5, we'd be looking at a Top 15 RPI... maybe even Top 10.
CVilleBuff
Well-Known Member
Yep, just jumped us. Now we are 29. FSU down to 66
CVilleBuff
Well-Known Member
Tuesday:
Providence 17-9 (7-6) vs #9 Villanova 22-3 (10-2): Providence is currently the last team in on Bracket Matrix. They were in much better shape a couple weeks ago, but then proceeded to lose to literally every fellow bubble team in the Big East. They've got a great win over Creighton and some decent wins over teams like Georgetown, only one bad loss (Seton Hall). RPI is just 57. When you're right on the fence, this is the type of home win you need. A loss isn't the end of the Friars' hopes, but it probably leaves them needing wins in the conference tournament which is always a sketchy situation.
NC State 16-9 (6-6) @ Clemson 15-9 (6-6): NC State is coming off a heartbreaking loss by 1 at Syracuse. NCSU lacks any decent wins (best is Tennessee), so it was a brutal loss to take. That said, given the state of the bubble, they still have a chance. RPI is 51 and remaining games against UNC and Pitt give them the opportunity to get some quality wins. Clemson had a make or break week last week and got broken. They aren't in the picture anymore with an RPI of 78.
Richmond 17-8 (7-3) vs George Washington 19-6 (7-4): Richmond is the 2nd to last team in per Bracket Matrix. RPI is 40. Richmond is in a situation similar to us. Leading scorer gone for the year left them needing to "prove" they still belong. So far it has been a success, they've won 3 in a row, albeit over conference bottom feeders. Here's their chance for a quality win. George Washington is 37. Likely a 9 or 10 at the moment. They've lost 2 straight, but it was to quality opposition VCU and UMass. Still, they'll want to stop that slide so they don't start entering the bubble discussion themselves.
St. John's 17-9 (7-6) vs Butler 12-13 (2-11): St. John's is fresh off a vital win over fellow bubbler Georgetown. St. John's didn't just win, they killed Gtown by 22. RPI is up to 53. After an 0-5 start in conference play they have gone on a tear. There's no doubt they belong based on what they've shown over the last month. However, a season is a season and they really damaged themselves early. St. John's is getting close, but they still have work to do. Cannot lose to Butler.
Tennessee 15-10 (6-6) vs Georgia 14-10 (8-4): Vols are fresh off a week of a close home loss to Florida and a close road loss at Missouri. Opportunities blown. RPI is 54 and they're right on the line. They're fortunate because their 35 point ass kicking of Virginia has gained so much stock it's not even funny. Tennessee's remaining 6 games are extremely manageable. Frankly they should win all 6 and that would put them in the Dance. However, with easy opposition comes the risk of damaging losses. Georgia has proved it's no slouch, at least not in the lowly SEC.
Providence 17-9 (7-6) vs #9 Villanova 22-3 (10-2): Providence is currently the last team in on Bracket Matrix. They were in much better shape a couple weeks ago, but then proceeded to lose to literally every fellow bubble team in the Big East. They've got a great win over Creighton and some decent wins over teams like Georgetown, only one bad loss (Seton Hall). RPI is just 57. When you're right on the fence, this is the type of home win you need. A loss isn't the end of the Friars' hopes, but it probably leaves them needing wins in the conference tournament which is always a sketchy situation.
NC State 16-9 (6-6) @ Clemson 15-9 (6-6): NC State is coming off a heartbreaking loss by 1 at Syracuse. NCSU lacks any decent wins (best is Tennessee), so it was a brutal loss to take. That said, given the state of the bubble, they still have a chance. RPI is 51 and remaining games against UNC and Pitt give them the opportunity to get some quality wins. Clemson had a make or break week last week and got broken. They aren't in the picture anymore with an RPI of 78.
Richmond 17-8 (7-3) vs George Washington 19-6 (7-4): Richmond is the 2nd to last team in per Bracket Matrix. RPI is 40. Richmond is in a situation similar to us. Leading scorer gone for the year left them needing to "prove" they still belong. So far it has been a success, they've won 3 in a row, albeit over conference bottom feeders. Here's their chance for a quality win. George Washington is 37. Likely a 9 or 10 at the moment. They've lost 2 straight, but it was to quality opposition VCU and UMass. Still, they'll want to stop that slide so they don't start entering the bubble discussion themselves.
St. John's 17-9 (7-6) vs Butler 12-13 (2-11): St. John's is fresh off a vital win over fellow bubbler Georgetown. St. John's didn't just win, they killed Gtown by 22. RPI is up to 53. After an 0-5 start in conference play they have gone on a tear. There's no doubt they belong based on what they've shown over the last month. However, a season is a season and they really damaged themselves early. St. John's is getting close, but they still have work to do. Cannot lose to Butler.
Tennessee 15-10 (6-6) vs Georgia 14-10 (8-4): Vols are fresh off a week of a close home loss to Florida and a close road loss at Missouri. Opportunities blown. RPI is 54 and they're right on the line. They're fortunate because their 35 point ass kicking of Virginia has gained so much stock it's not even funny. Tennessee's remaining 6 games are extremely manageable. Frankly they should win all 6 and that would put them in the Dance. However, with easy opposition comes the risk of damaging losses. Georgia has proved it's no slouch, at least not in the lowly SEC.
Ole Miss has a chance to play themselves back into bubble contention with a game tonight against UK followed up by Saturday's game against Florida. Do you think they need both of those? Of course alot would also depend on what they do in their last 4 games after these 2.